ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-20 23:00 UTC 52 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.23 %

Entry

2,447.68

Target

2,377.60 +2.86 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,478.00 −1.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 10,147 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 10,147 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Signal Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % ↓ −28.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (12.07)

model score 19.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 20.9 % vs 32.0 % on average · stopped out 25.4 % vs 21.9 % (crypto, 2,196 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 23:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.59
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.12
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.05
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.01
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart suggests immediate downside pressure.
Higher timeframes are mixed: medium-term bullish (15m-4h) vs. longer-term bearish (8h-1d).
Key levels: support at 2377.60 and resistance at 2478.00; a break below support confirms, reclaiming resistance invalidates.
Expect choppy conditions as the bearish short-term signal wrestles with the bullish medium-term trend.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including DX Trend Weak, MACD Signal Cross Down, TEMA Retreat Down, AO Saucer Bearish, SMI Signal Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, HMA Direction Down, and TTM TREND Trend Down. This confluence indicates a strong, broad-based loss of upside momentum on the short-term timeframe, with multiple independent indicators aligning to confirm a downward shift. The sheer number of signals and the very strong probability rating suggest that the immediate bias is firmly bearish, and traders should expect continued downward pressure in the near term.

However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed. While the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, the 15m through 4h timeframes are all bullish, albeit with choppy or forming trends. This creates a conflict: the short-term bearish signal is fighting against a medium-term bullish structure. The nearest resistance at 2478.00 and support at 2377.60 define the immediate range. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it. Given the strong signal cluster, the path of least resistance is likely down, but traders must watch for the medium-term bullish trend to reassert itself.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple independent indicators (MACD, TEMA, AO, SMI, HMA, TTM) all aligned bearish on the 30M chart.
▼ Longer timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are already bearish, providing broader trend support.
▼ The dense cluster of signals suggests strong momentum behind the move, increasing the probability of follow-through.

Risk Factors

▲ The medium-term timeframes (15m-4h) are bullish, which could provide a counter-trend bid and stall the downward move.
▲ If price reclaims the 2478.00 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated and the medium-term bullish trend could resume.
▲ The 30M trend is still 'forming' (2/5) on the 30M timeframe itself, meaning the bearish momentum may not be fully established yet.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 15M could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws around key levels.