ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL NEW CLOSED
58 minutes ago
The plan for this signal
Closed at stop · result −0.36 %
Entry
2,469.11
Target
2,436.87 +1.31 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,478.00 −0.36 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,370 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 10,370 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 %
21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 %
23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 %
23 % at stop avg −1.48 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +5 more
Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 21.1 % vs 32.0 % on average · stopped out 25.5 % vs 22.0 % (crypto, 2,278 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.21 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.85 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 0.73 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 30m chart, but conflicting higher timeframe trends create uncertainty.
- Watch the 2478.00 resistance; a break above invalidates the bearish setup.
- Support at 2436.87 is the key level to watch for confirmation of downside momentum.
- The signal is a mean-reversion play, not a trend change; expect a pullback, not a reversal.
The 30-minute ETH/USDT signal is strongly bearish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down point to waning buying pressure, while the BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down and HMA Retreat Down confirm a pullback from upper volatility bands. The ER Level Cross Down and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggest that price had moved to an extreme and is now reverting to the mean, a classic mean-reversion setup. The candlestick patterns, Bearish Engulfing and Spinning Top Bearish, add confirmation of a short-term reversal at the highs.
However, this bearish signal is occurring against a backdrop of bullish trends across the 15m through 4h timeframes, all showing trend formation at 2/5. Only the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, with the 8h and 12h at solid 3/5. This creates a mixed picture: the higher timeframes (8h and up) support a bearish bias, but the shorter timeframes are still trying to establish a bullish trend. The nearest resistance at 2478.00 is just above the current price, and a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal. The nearest support at 2436.87 is the first downside target; a break below would confirm the bearish momentum.
However, this bearish signal is occurring against a backdrop of bullish trends across the 15m through 4h timeframes, all showing trend formation at 2/5. Only the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, with the 8h and 12h at solid 3/5. This creates a mixed picture: the higher timeframes (8h and up) support a bearish bias, but the shorter timeframes are still trying to establish a bullish trend. The nearest resistance at 2478.00 is just above the current price, and a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal. The nearest support at 2436.87 is the first downside target; a break below would confirm the bearish momentum.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple indicators align on the 30m timeframe, including BOP, STOCHF, and BBANDS.
- ▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Spinning Top) confirm the reversal at the highs.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h) are bearish with solid trends, supporting the downside bias.
- ▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price was overextended and is reverting to the mean.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15m to 4h timeframes are all bullish, which could override the short-term bearish signal.
- ▲ Resistance at 2478.00 is close; a break above would invalidate the signal.
- ▲ The bearish signal may be a temporary pullback within a larger bullish trend, not a trend reversal.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the price holds above support and forms a higher low.
Symbol
ETH/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
15%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-21 12:30
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 2,478.00000 | 2026-10-20 |
| S1 | 2,436.87000 | 2026-10-21 |
| S2 | 2,377.60000 | 2026-10-20 |
| S3 | 2,372.62000 | 2026-10-20 |