USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %
Entry
1.40557
Target
1.41125 +0.40 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.39930 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CTI OS Exit, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
53.6 % ↓ −7.4 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 59 % (19.63) ▼ Bearish 41 % (13.46)
model score 59.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 16.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 393 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 59%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.95
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.89
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.89
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.89
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.85
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.76
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.76
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.72
▼ KDJ OB Entry indicator 1.59
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.47
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.38
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.35
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.35
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.34
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.31
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 1.31

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful short-term bullish momentum burst is firing on the 30m chart, but it is counter to the higher-timeframe downtrend.
  • Watch the 1.40677 resistance: a break could extend the bounce, while rejection likely leads back to support at 1.40323.
  • The weak DX trend score suggests the current bearish trend may be losing steam, supporting the possibility of a bounce.
  • Trade with caution: the higher timeframes are strongly bearish, so any long is a counter-trend play with defined risk.
The 30-minute USD/CAD chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including CCI, CMO, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, and RSI all crossing their zero or midlines upward, alongside a weak DX trend reading. This suggests a short-term bullish impulse is developing, likely a counter-trend bounce within a broader bearish structure. The confluence of multiple oscillators turning up at once points to strong buying pressure in the very near term.

However, the higher timeframes are firmly bearish, with solid to very strong downtrends from 1h up to the daily chart. The 30m trend itself is still labeled bearish, meaning this buy signal is counter-trend. The nearest resistance at 1.40677 is the immediate upside target and a critical barrier; a break above it could signal a deeper correction, while failure to hold above support at 1.40323 would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the dominant downtrend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, CMO, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossing up simultaneously on the 30m chart.
  • ▲ Weak DX trend score indicates the existing downtrend may be exhausting, increasing the odds of a corrective rally.
  • ▲ Proximity to support at 1.40323 provides a defined level where buyers could step in.
  • ▲ The signal strength is 'very strong' with an 86% probability, reflecting high conviction in the short-term move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The higher timeframes (1h to daily) are all bearish, so the buy signal is counter-trend and may fail quickly.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.40323 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate the downtrend.
  • ▼ Resistance at 1.40677 is close, limiting upside potential; if price stalls there, momentum could fade.
  • ▼ The 30m trend itself is still bearish, so the bounce could be short-lived unless the trend flips.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 59%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40677 2026-10-21
R2 1.41125 2026-10-19
R3 1.41128 2026-10-19
S1 1.40323 2026-10-20

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