EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL
SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +8 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.86 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.26 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▲ | RSX OS Entry | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▲ | STOCH OS Exit | indicator | 1.05 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 0.93 |
| ▲ | HMA Direction Up | indicator | 0.87 |
| ▼ | Gapping Down Doji | candlestick | 0.74 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH, moving averages) are aligned bearish on the 30-minute chart.
- The bearish trend is consistent across 15m to 4h timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy, limiting conviction.
- Key resistance at 1.60625 is the invalidation level; a break above would signal a potential reversal.
- The signal is strong, but the lack of trend on 12h and 1d timeframes suggests the move may be counter-trend.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with solid scores, and the 8-hour timeframe shows a forming trend. However, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are choppy and sideways, which tempers the overall conviction. The nearest resistance at 1.60625 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the confluence of indicators and candlestick patterns, the pair is likely to test lower levels, but traders should remain cautious of the lack of trend support on higher timeframes.
- ▼ Strong confluence of over 15 signals, including indicator and candlestick patterns.
- ▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 4h timeframes with solid-to-very-strong scores.
- ▼ Retreat of multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and trendline support breakdown.
- ▼ High probability (81%) and strong signal strength.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy and sideways, which could mean the bearish move is a correction within a larger range.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.60625 would invalidate the bearish thesis.
- ▲ Oversold exits (CCI, STOCH) could be followed by a bounce if buying pressure returns.
- ▲ The 8h trend is only forming, so the move may lack momentum on higher scales.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.60625 | 2026-10-20 |
| R2 | 1.60932 | 2026-10-20 |
| R3 | 1.61884 | 2026-10-16 |