EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.07 %
Entry
1.59692
Target
1.59400 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.60625 −0.58 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/AUD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 12%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.86
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.37
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.30
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.26
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.25
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.78
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.65
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.52
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.06
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.05
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 0.93
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 0.87
▼ Gapping Down Doji candlestick 0.74

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH, moving averages) are aligned bearish on the 30-minute chart.
  • The bearish trend is consistent across 15m to 4h timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy, limiting conviction.
  • Key resistance at 1.60625 is the invalidation level; a break above would signal a potential reversal.
  • The signal is strong, but the lack of trend on 12h and 1d timeframes suggests the move may be counter-trend.
The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to a strong sell opportunity. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying pressure, while the CCI and STOCH oversold exits suggest the pair is bouncing from oversold conditions, often a precursor to further downside. The retreat of multiple moving averages (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and the HT TRENDLINE retreat down all confirm a bearish alignment. With a strong probability of 81% and a very strong trend score on the 30-minute timeframe, the immediate bias is clearly lower.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with solid scores, and the 8-hour timeframe shows a forming trend. However, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are choppy and sideways, which tempers the overall conviction. The nearest resistance at 1.60625 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the confluence of indicators and candlestick patterns, the pair is likely to test lower levels, but traders should remain cautious of the lack of trend support on higher timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of over 15 signals, including indicator and candlestick patterns.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 4h timeframes with solid-to-very-strong scores.
  • ▼ Retreat of multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and trendline support breakdown.
  • ▼ High probability (81%) and strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy and sideways, which could mean the bearish move is a correction within a larger range.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.60625 would invalidate the bearish thesis.
  • ▲ Oversold exits (CCI, STOCH) could be followed by a bounce if buying pressure returns.
  • ▲ The 8h trend is only forming, so the move may lack momentum on higher scales.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 12%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 09:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.60625 2026-10-20
R2 1.60932 2026-10-20
R3 1.61884 2026-10-16

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