EUR/AUD – 4H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.09 %
Entry
1.59683
Target
1.58945 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.62660 −1.86 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, Bear Flag +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/AUD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 4h 93%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.44
▼ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.21
▼ Bear Flagbreak + retest chart_pattern 2.09
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.03
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.85
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.83
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.78
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.71
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 1.66
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.24
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.07
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.80
▼ Bearish Separating Lines candlestick 0.68

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on EUR/AUD 4H with high probability and very strong strength.
  • Multiple indicators and patterns align: Bear Flag, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and more.
  • Trend is solidly bearish across lower timeframes (15m to 4H), but higher timeframes show weaker trends.
  • Watch key levels: resistance at 1.62660 and support at 1.59547 for potential breakouts or reversals.
The EUR/AUD 4H signal is strongly bearish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of chart pattern, candlestick, and indicator signals. The Bear Flag pattern suggests a continuation of a downtrend, while the BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm bearish momentum. The WILLR OS Entry and BBANDS LOWER Break Down further support downside pressure, with the DEMA, EMA, and MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicating that price is pulling back from recent highs and aligning with the bearish trend.

Trend alignment across timeframes is solid from 15m to 4H, all showing a solid bearish trend (3/5), which reinforces the signal's strength. However, higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) show weaker or choppy trends, suggesting that the bearish move may be a correction within a larger range. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.62660, which could act as a barrier to further downside if broken, and the nearest support at 1.59547, which is a critical level that, if broken, could accelerate the decline. The signal is strong, but traders should be cautious of the higher timeframe weakness.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple signal groups (chart pattern, candlestick, indicator) supports the bearish direction.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trend across all lower timeframes (3/5) indicates strong momentum.
  • ▼ Bear Flag pattern and DEMA/EMA retreats confirm downside continuation.
  • ▼ WILLR OS Entry and BBANDS LOWER Break Down add to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) show weaker or choppy trends, which could mean the bearish move is temporary.
  • ▲ If the price breaks above the resistance at 1.62660, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum might fade if the support at 1.59547 holds and price consolidates.
  • ▲ The signal is very strong but could be overextended; watch for reversal signs like bullish candlesticks.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-21 05:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.62660 2026-10-15
R2 1.63352 2026-09-30
S1 1.59547 2026-10-14

Tags

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