EUR/CAD – 12H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-10-20 21:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.47 %

Entry

1.57658

Target

1.56017 +1.04 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.61385 −2.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Position

▲ Bullish 12 % (1.81) ▼ Bearish 88 % (13.36)

model score 8.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.65
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.12
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.09
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on EUR/CAD with high probability and strong strength, supported by multiple indicator groups.
Bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes, with the 2H and 4H showing the strongest trend scores.
Key resistance to watch is 1.61385; a break above could invalidate the bearish signal.
No nearest support level defined, so downside targets are unclear—manage risk accordingly.

The EUR/CAD 12H signal is firmly bearish, with a strong probability (79%) and a strong overall strength reading. The confluence of multiple indicator groups—including the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Entry—along with the BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up and a cluster of price-based retreat signals (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) points to a broad-based downward pressure. The bearish trend is consistent across all observed timeframes, from 15 minutes up to 1 day, with the 2H and 4H timeframes showing particularly strong trend scores (4/5 and 3/5 respectively), reinforcing the signal's validity.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 1.61385 as a potential invalidation zone if price rallies above it. The absence of a defined nearest support suggests that downside targets are not clearly mapped, which increases uncertainty in terms of where the move might stall. The alignment of bearish trends across multiple timeframes, especially the strong 2H and 4H trends, provides a solid foundation for the bearish outlook, but the lack of a clear support level warrants caution in setting expectations for the extent of the move.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with 2H and 4H showing strong bearish trends.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BOP, STOCH, WILLR, BBANDS, and price-based retreats) all pointing lower.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (79%) add conviction to the bearish outlook.

Risk Factors

▲ Resistance at 1.61385 is the immediate invalidation level; a break above would undermine the bearish case.
▲ Higher timeframe (1D) shows only a trend forming (2/5), which may limit the sustainability of the move.
▲ Lack of a defined nearest support means the move could be shallow or face unexpected reversals.
▲ Choppy/sideways action on the 30m timeframe suggests potential for short-term noise and false signals.