EUR/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.42 %
Entry
0.92533
Target
0.93348 +0.88 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.92145 −0.42 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Up, Bullish Harami Cross, DEMA Retreat Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 4h 10%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.66
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 1.23
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.22
▲ Southern Doji candlestick 1.01

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signal on 4H but all higher timeframes are bearish—treat as a countertrend bounce.
  • Multiple indicators and candlesticks align for a potential short-term up move.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.93348, support at 0.92145; watch for breaks.
  • Strength is moderate, so position sizing and stop-loss placement are critical.
The 4H bullish signal on EUR/CHF fires against a backdrop of persistent bearish trends across all monitored timeframes, from 15 minutes up to 1 day. The confluence of five signals—BOP Zero Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, SMI Signal Cross Down, Bullish Harami Cross, and Southern Doji—suggests a potential short-term countertrend bounce within a broader downtrend. The BOP Zero Cross Up and DEMA Retreat Up indicate that buying pressure is emerging, while the SMI Signal Cross Down and the candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami Cross, Southern Doji) point to a possible reversal or at least a pause in the bearish momentum. However, the trend scores are strongly bearish on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H all at 4/5), which limits the confidence in a sustained upside move. The nearest resistance at 0.93348 and support at 0.92145 define the immediate range; a break above resistance would signal a more meaningful reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Traders should treat this signal as a tactical opportunity within a dominant downtrend. The moderate strength and 73% probability reflect the mixed signals, but the alignment of multiple indicators and candlestick patterns on the 4H timeframe provides a reasonable basis for a short-term long position. The key is to manage risk tightly: any move toward the resistance level should be monitored for a stall or rejection, and a failure to hold above the support would negate the bullish thesis. The broader bearish trend across all timeframes means that any long position should be considered countertrend, with a clear exit plan if the price action contradicts the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of five signals including BOP Zero Cross Up and DEMA Retreat Up suggests emerging buying pressure.
  • ▲ Bullish Harami Cross and Southern Doji candlestick patterns reinforce the reversal idea.
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe is the signal's own, giving it direct relevance despite higher timeframe bearishness.
  • ▲ A 73% probability indicates a reasonable edge for a short-term move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Dominant bearish trends on 8H and 12H (4/5 strength) could easily overwhelm a countertrend bounce.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.93348 is relatively close; a failure to break it may lead to a quick fade.
  • ▼ If price drops below support at 0.92145, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • ▼ Momentum from the signal may be short-lived given the strong bearish context; watch for stalling near resistance.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 10%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.93348 2026-10-14
R2 0.93685 2026-10-07
R3 0.94862 2026-09-30
S1 0.92145 2026-10-19

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