EUR/GBP – 4H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 09:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.12 %

Entry

0.83834

Target

0.84777 +1.12 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82501 −1.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, CMO OS Exit, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	2.50
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	2.40
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	2.06
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.00
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold indicators (RSI, CMO, WILLR, ZSCORE) exiting extreme lows signal a strong bullish bounce, but it's counter-trend.
All timeframes from 15m to 1d are bearish, so this is a correction within a downtrend, not a reversal.
Key resistance to watch is 0.84777; a break above could extend the bounce, but rejection would confirm the broader bearish trend.
The signal strength is very strong, but the lack of support levels and conflicting trend alignment increase risk.

The EUR/GBP 4H signal fires a cluster of mean-reversion oscillators (CMO, RSI, WILLR, ZSCORE) exiting oversold conditions, alongside a BOP Zero Cross Up and a bullish STOCHF KD Cross Up. This indicates a strong bounce from deeply depressed levels, with the Accumulation Bands lower band retreating, suggesting the selling pressure is easing. However, the signal stands in stark contrast to the broader trend: every timeframe from 15 minutes to 1 day is bearish, with very strong or extremely strong trend scores on most. This is a counter-trend bounce within a dominant downtrend, not a reversal signal.

The confluence of multiple oversold exits and the cross-up signals points to a short-term bullish correction, likely targeting the nearest resistance at 0.84777. The probability of 100% and very strong strength reflect the extreme oversold state, but the lack of support levels and the pervasive bearish trend across all timeframes argue for caution. Traders should view this as a tactical long within a larger bearish context, with the resistance at 0.84777 as the key level to watch. A failure to hold above the current lows would invalidate the bounce.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple oversold exits (RSI, CMO, WILLR, ZSCORE) and bullish crosses (BOP, STOCHF KD) all firing together.
▲ Accumulation Bands lower band retreating indicates a reduction in downside momentum.
▲ Extreme low ZSCORE exit suggests a statistically significant deviation from the mean, often preceding a mean reversion.
▲ Signal probability of 100% and very strong strength reflect the intensity of the oversold condition.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish, with extremely strong trends on 1H and 2H, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ Nearest resistance at 0.84777 is a nearby ceiling; failure to break above it would likely lead to renewed selling.
▼ No support levels are defined, leaving the downside open if the bounce fails.
▼ Counter-trend signals are often short-lived; watch for momentum fading as the oversold condition corrects.