EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 11× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.06 %
Entry
177.514
Target
177.920 +0.23 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.136 −0.21 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, WILLR OS Exit +8 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 100%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.30
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.97
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.92
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.88
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.85
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.80
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.71
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.60
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.50
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.26
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong 1H bullish signal with multiple oversold exits and a trendline break.
  • Higher timeframes remain bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
  • Watch 177.92000 resistance for bullish confirmation; 177.13600 support is the invalidation level.
  • Choppy higher timeframe trends mean limited follow-through potential.
The EUR/JPY 1H signal has fired a strong bullish confluence, with a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, and multiple oscillator exits from oversold conditions (STOCH, WILLR) alongside a KD Cross Up. The retreat of the 200-period EMAs/SMAs and KAMA from below suggests the recent bearish momentum is fading and buyers are stepping in. However, the higher timeframes remain bearish, with the 1H trend itself still choppy/sideways, so this signal represents a potential counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend rather than a confirmed reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 177.92000 and support at 177.13600. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a move back below support would invalidate the signal and suggest the bounce has failed. The alignment of multiple indicators on the 1H timeframe is compelling, but the lack of bullish confirmation on higher timeframes calls for caution. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with defined invalidation levels rather than a high-conviction trend change.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of trendline, indicator, and candlestick signals on the 1H timeframe.
  • ▲ Multiple oscillator oversold exits (STOCH, WILLR) suggest selling pressure is exhausted.
  • ▲ Retreat of 200-period moving averages from below indicates a shift in momentum.
  • ▲ High probability (88%) and very strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Bearish trend across all higher timeframes (2H to 1D) argues against sustained upside.
  • ▼ 1H trend itself is choppy/sideways, so the bounce may lack momentum.
  • ▼ A move back below 177.13600 support would invalidate the signal.
  • ▼ Nearby resistance at 177.92000 could cap gains if not broken.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-21 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.92000 2026-10-20
R2 177.96800 2026-10-16
S1 177.13600 2026-10-20
S2 176.66000 2026-10-19
S3 176.29800 2026-10-14

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