EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 14:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.24 %

Entry

1.12241

Target

1.11806 +0.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12608 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, TSI Signal Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.58
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.95
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.68
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.35
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.31
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.24

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A heavy cluster of momentum indicators is firing bearish on the 1H, signaling a strong sell setup.
Short-term timeframes (15m-2h) are all bearish, but choppy, so expect possible sideways drift before a move.
Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are strongly bearish, adding weight to the sell signal.
Watch the 1.12045 support and 1.12608 resistance as the key battle lines.

The 1H EUR/USD signal fires a dense cluster of momentum and oscillator indicators, all aligned in the bearish direction. With a 90% probability and very strong strength, the signal reflects a broad-based shift in short-term momentum. The confluence of CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI CROSS Cross Down, DM CROSS Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, and ROCR Cross Down, plus 11 additional indicators, points to a coordinated breakdown in buying pressure. This suggests that the recent uptick has stalled and that sellers are gaining control on the 1H timeframe.

Trend alignment is mixed but supportive for the short term. The 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are all bearish, though choppy and weak (1/5), indicating that the bearish momentum is present but not yet strong. However, the 12h and 1d timeframes show solid to very strong bearish trends (3/5 and 4/5), providing a higher-timeframe tailwind. The 4h and 8h timeframes are bullish but choppy, creating a potential conflict. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12608 and support at 1.12045. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Broad indicator confluence: 15+ signals all aligned bearish on the 1H.
▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 12h and 1d trends are solidly bearish, supporting the move.
▼ Momentum shift: Multiple zero-cross and cross-down events indicate a clear loss of upward momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Conflicting higher timeframes: 4h and 8h are still bullish, which could stall or reverse the bearish move.
▲ Choppy price action on lower timeframes suggests low conviction; the move may lack follow-through.
▲ Invalidation: A close above the nearest resistance at 1.12608 would signal that the bearish momentum has failed.

Symbol EUR/USD

Timeframe 1H

Direction SELL

Conviction 3%

Strength WEAK

Date 2026-10-21 14:00

cat_ Forex Forex