EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 08:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.05 %

Entry

1.12211

Target

1.11865 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12608 −0.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.08
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.87
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.49
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.20
▼	Bearish Separating Lines	candlestick	0.99
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously on the 30M chart, indicating strong short-term sell pressure.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are solidly bearish, supporting the direction, but 1H and 8H are bullish, adding risk.
Watch the nearest support at 1.12045 and resistance at 1.12608; a break of support confirms, while reclaiming resistance invalidates.
Choppy/sideways conditions across most timeframes suggest low trend strength, so expect possible consolidation or false moves.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Strong, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) alongside a SAR Flip Bearish. This confluence of indicators from candlestick, fibonacci, and indicator groups points to a very strong short-term sell bias with 93% probability. The immediate bearish momentum is reinforced by the 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h timeframes all showing bearish conditions, though they are choppy and sideways with a low trend score (1/5). The 12h and 1d timeframes are more decisive, with solid and very strong bearish trends respectively, suggesting the longer-term direction supports the short-term signal.

However, the 1h and 8h timeframes are bullish, albeit also choppy, creating a conflicting higher-timeframe headwind that could stall or reverse the move. The key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.12608 and support at 1.12045. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the sell signal. Given the strong probability and multi-indicator alignment, the bias is clearly bearish, but traders should be cautious of the choppy conditions and the bullish higher timeframes that may cause whipsaws.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of over a dozen bearish signals across candlestick, fibonacci, and indicator groups.
▼ Strong bearish trend on 12H and 1D timeframes (solid and very strong scores).
▼ Multiple moving average retreats and a bearish SAR flip reinforce the momentum.
▼ High probability (93%) and very strong strength rating for the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Bullish 1H and 8H timeframes could counter the bearish move, causing a bounce.
▲ Choppy/sideways price action (low trend scores on most timeframes) may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ If price rises above the nearest resistance at 1.12608, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCHF KD cross and BOP zero cross lose traction without follow-through.