EUR/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 09:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.22 %

Entry

1.12314

Target

1.12696 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11806 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, Trendline Break Up, TSI Signal Cross Up +15 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.52
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.39
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.64
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.61
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.18
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.15
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.14
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.08
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.06
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.00
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	0.95
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.79
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.76

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on 4H: trendline break, ascending triangle, and multiple oscillator cross-ups point to upside momentum.
Immediate resistance at 1.12696 is the key level to watch; a clean break could signal further upside, but beware of rejection.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend rally—manage risk accordingly.
Support at 1.11806 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signal.

The 4H EUR/USD signal is strongly bullish, with an 87% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical events: a Trendline Break Up, an Ascending Triangle pattern, and multiple oscillator cross-ups (BOP, CCI, DI, DM, STOCH KD) plus a Bollinger Band Middle cross. These indicators collectively suggest a momentum shift to the upside within the 4H timeframe, which is further supported by bullish trends on 15m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes, although these are choppy and sideways (strength 1/5). The break above the ascending triangle's upper boundary and the trendline break indicate a potential continuation of the bullish move, with the nearest resistance at 1.12696 as the immediate target.

However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture: the 12H and 1D trends are bearish, with the 1D being very strong (4/5) and the 12H solid (3/5). This suggests that the bullish signal on 4H may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The choppy nature of the lower timeframes (all 1/5 strength) indicates a lack of clear trend direction, which could lead to false breakouts. The nearest support at 1.11806 is a critical level; a break below that would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the bearish bias. Traders should watch for sustained price action above the resistance to confirm the breakout, and be cautious of the higher timeframe bearish pressure.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, DI, DM, STOCH KD) all crossed zero/up simultaneously, creating strong momentum alignment.
▲ Ascending triangle pattern and trendline break provide chart-pattern confluence supporting a bullish move.
▲ Bullish trend across 15m to 8H timeframes, even if choppy, shows underlying buying pressure in the short term.
▲ High probability (87%) and very strong signal strength increase confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (12H solid, 1D very strong) could overpower the 4H bullish move, leading to a reversal.
▼ Choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes (strength 1/5) suggests low trend conviction, increasing the risk of false breakouts.
▼ If price fails to break above 1.12696 and instead falls below 1.11806, the signal is invalidated and bearish pressure likely resumes.
▼ The sheer number of indicators may indicate over-confluence, which can sometimes precede a sharp correction.