GBP/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.72 %
Entry
211.672
Target
208.359 +1.57 %
closes in profit
Stop
214.289 −1.24 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 10%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.34
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.56
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.15
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish indicators align on the 2H timeframe, suggesting a short-term sell opportunity.
  • Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 1D) are bullish, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
  • Watch the 208.35900 support level; a break below confirms bearish momentum, while holding it may lead to a bounce.
  • The signal is moderate strength (68% probability), so position sizing should reflect uncertainty.
The 2H SELL signal on GBP/JPY is a confluence of multiple bearish indicators firing simultaneously: BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up, and a Belt Hold bearish candlestick pattern. This cluster suggests a short-term momentum shift to the downside, with the oscillator-based signals (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, ERI) indicating a loss of bullish pressure and a potential reversal. The Belt Hold candlestick adds a price-action confirmation of selling pressure at the current level.

However, the higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 1D) are all bullish, with trend scores of 2/5 indicating trend formation. This creates a conflict: the 2H signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe trend. The nearest support at 208.35900 is a critical level to watch; a break below would strengthen the bearish case, while a failure to break could mean the signal is merely a pullback within a larger uptrend. The 15M timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting near-term indecision. Traders should treat this as a tactical short opportunity with a clear invalidation level in mind, rather than a trend reversal signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of seven bearish signals on the 2H timeframe, including oscillators and a candlestick pattern.
  • ▼ The 15M timeframe is bearish/choppy, providing some near-term alignment with the sell signal.
  • ▼ The Belt Hold candlestick pattern adds price-action confirmation of selling pressure.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 1D) are all bullish, which could overpower the 2H bearish signal.
  • ▲ The 15M trend is choppy/sideways, indicating indecision and potential for whipsaws.
  • ▲ If the 208.35900 support holds, the sell signal may be invalidated and a bounce could occur.
  • ▲ The signal is only moderate strength (68%), so there is a meaningful chance of failure.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 10%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 208.35900 2026-10-14
S2 208.19400 2026-10-08
S3 207.58600 2026-10-01

Tags

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