GBP/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down +2 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▲ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 0.98 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple bearish indicators align on the 2H timeframe, suggesting a short-term sell opportunity.
- Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 1D) are bullish, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
- Watch the 208.35900 support level; a break below confirms bearish momentum, while holding it may lead to a bounce.
- The signal is moderate strength (68% probability), so position sizing should reflect uncertainty.
However, the higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 1D) are all bullish, with trend scores of 2/5 indicating trend formation. This creates a conflict: the 2H signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe trend. The nearest support at 208.35900 is a critical level to watch; a break below would strengthen the bearish case, while a failure to break could mean the signal is merely a pullback within a larger uptrend. The 15M timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting near-term indecision. Traders should treat this as a tactical short opportunity with a clear invalidation level in mind, rather than a trend reversal signal.
- ▼ Confluence of seven bearish signals on the 2H timeframe, including oscillators and a candlestick pattern.
- ▼ The 15M timeframe is bearish/choppy, providing some near-term alignment with the sell signal.
- ▼ The Belt Hold candlestick pattern adds price-action confirmation of selling pressure.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 1D) are all bullish, which could overpower the 2H bearish signal.
- ▲ The 15M trend is choppy/sideways, indicating indecision and potential for whipsaws.
- ▲ If the 208.35900 support holds, the sell signal may be invalidated and a bounce could occur.
- ▲ The signal is only moderate strength (68%), so there is a meaningful chance of failure.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 208.35900 | 2026-10-14 |
| S2 | 208.19400 | 2026-10-08 |
| S3 | 207.58600 | 2026-10-01 |