GBP/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 14:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.03 %

Entry

1.33861

Target

1.32987 +0.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.34482 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Break Down, CHOP Choppy, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle +8 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	1.87
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.77
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.55
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 30M bearish signal, but higher timeframes are bullish—expect a pullback, not a reversal.
Key levels: resistance at 1.34094, support at 1.33643; watch for breaks.
Multiple indicators align bearish, increasing signal reliability.
Conflicting higher timeframe trend is the main risk—be cautious with aggressive shorts.

The 30-minute SELL signal on GBP/USD is firing against a backdrop of mostly bullish higher timeframes, creating a clear conflict. The signal itself is strong, with a 78% probability and a broad set of indicators aligning bearish: CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, DEMA and EMA Retreat Down, and a break down of the HT trendline, among others. This suggests a sharp, short-term bearish impulse that could lead to a pullback within the prevailing uptrend. The nearest resistance at 1.34094 and support at 1.33643 frame the immediate range; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while holding above resistance would invalidate it.

However, the higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are all bullish, with solid trend scores of 3/5, indicating that the broader trend is upward. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are only trend forming, so the bearish signal may be a temporary correction rather than a reversal. The confluence of multiple indicator groups (indicator and candlestick) adds weight, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend is a major caveat. Traders should watch the key levels closely: a sustained move below 1.33643 would signal a deeper pullback, while a bounce off support would likely resume the bullish trend.

Catalysts

▼ Broad confluence of indicators: CMO, RSI, DEMA, EMA, HT trendline break, and more all pointing down.
▼ Signal strength is strong with a high probability (78%).
▼ Multiple signal groups (indicator and candlestick) firing together.
▼ Immediate resistance at 1.34094 provides a clear level to defend.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H-1D) are bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish move.
▲ The 30M and 15M trends are only 'trend forming', so momentum may be weak.
▲ If price holds above 1.34094, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ A bounce off support at 1.33643 could resume the broader uptrend.