NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-21 15:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.56940

Target

0.57161 +0.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56532 −0.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,124 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,124 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.5 % ↓ −21.5 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +12% Intraday

▲ Bullish 93 % (34.89) ▼ Bearish 7 % (2.49)

model score 24.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.87
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.03
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 1H timeframe with 93% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple momentum and trend indicators fired simultaneously, indicating a broad-based shift.
Bullish alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 12h, but the 1D trend is bearish and could limit upside.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.56988 for a breakout confirmation and support at 0.56532 as invalidation.

The NZD/USD 1H signal is strongly bullish (93% probability, very strong), driven by a broad array of momentum and trend-following indicators. The APO, BOP, and STOCH KD all crossed up, while multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) retreated upward, indicating a synchronized shift in buying pressure across different calculation methods. This convergence suggests a fresh wave of upward momentum rather than a single indicator anomaly. The bullish alignment across timeframes from 15m up to 12h, with solid trends on 15m, 4h, and 12h, supports the idea that this move has legs, although the 1D timeframe remains bearish, acting as a potential headwind.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56988 and support at 0.56532. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and potentially open the path for further gains, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal and suggest the move has failed. The strong confluence of indicators and multi-timeframe alignment make this a high-probability setup, but traders should remain cautious of the conflicting 1D bearish trend, which could cap upside or trigger a reversal if the pair approaches that higher-timeframe resistance.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple zero-cross and retreat-up signals across different indicator families.
▲ Bullish trend alignment across timeframes, with solid trends on 15m, 4h, and 12h supporting the move.
▲ Strong trend score (93%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the signal.
▲ Candlestick patterns included in the signal groups add price-action confirmation.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish with a very strong trend, which may exert downward pressure and limit upside.
▼ If the pair fails to break above the nearest resistance at 0.56988, the bullish momentum could stall.
▼ A drop below the nearest support at 0.56532 would invalidate the signal and likely lead to a reversal.
▼ The 30m, 1h, 2h, and 8h trends are only 'forming' (2/5), indicating that the shorter-term momentum is not yet fully established.