USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-20 23:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

1.40583

Target

1.41125 +0.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39954 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 90 % (20.32) ▼ Bearish 10 % (2.37)

model score 89.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 639 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.35
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.34
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.34
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.31
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.05
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal cluster on the 30m chart, but it runs against a solid bearish trend across all higher timeframes.
Watch the 1.41125 resistance: a break above it would signal a potential trend shift; rejection keeps the bearish bias intact.
Support at 1.40323 is the invalidation level—if price falls below, the bullish signal is negated and the downtrend likely resumes.
The high probability (91%) reflects strong indicator confluence, not necessarily a trend reversal—context matters.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up and multiple moving-average retreat patterns (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) plus additional candlestick confirmations. This suggests a sharp, short-term upward impulse attempting to reverse the prevailing bearish trend. The signal probability is 91% with very strong strength, indicating high confluence among the indicators on this timeframe.

However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish across all higher timeframes, from 15 minutes up to 1 day, with trend scores ranging from 3/5 to 4/5. This creates a classic conflict: a powerful short-term bullish signal against a strong multi-timeframe downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.41125 is a critical level—if price can break and hold above it, the bullish case strengthens; otherwise, the move may be a mere counter-trend bounce. Support at 1.40323 is the immediate floor; losing it would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the dominant downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving-average retreat patterns (EMA, KAMA, MA, etc.) all firing together on the 30m chart, indicating a coordinated upward push.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up adds momentum confirmation, suggesting buying pressure is building.
▲ The candlestick group adds extra confirmation, increasing the reliability of the signal.
▲ The signal strength is 'very strong', implying a high degree of alignment among the indicators on this timeframe.

Risk Factors

▼ All higher timeframes (1h to 1d) are bearish with strong trend scores, which could easily override a short-term bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.41125 is close; if price fails to break it, the bullish move may stall and reverse.
▼ The 15m chart is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear short-term momentum that could undermine the signal.
▼ If price loses the 1.40323 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the dominant downtrend likely resumes.