USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-21 03:00 UTC 57 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

1.40671

Target

1.40323 +0.25 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41125 −0.32 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – vs previous candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 30 % (8.52) ▼ Bearish 70 % (19.50)

model score 69.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▲	KST Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.09
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.09

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, EMA 50, HMA) confirm a bearish shift on the 30-minute chart.
The bearish trend is consistent from 30m up to 1d, with strongest conviction on 2h and 4h.
Watch the 1.41125 resistance: a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 1.40323 support is the immediate downside objective; a break could open lower levels.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate a shift in buying pressure and momentum, while the EMA 50 Retreat Down and HMA Retreat Down confirm that price is pulling back from recent highs. The KST Zero Cross Up and QQE Midline Cross Up may seem contradictory at first, but they reflect short-term volatility and a fading of upward momentum, aligning with the overall bearish direction. The appearance of a Northern Doji and a Hanging Man adds candlestick confirmation of seller dominance at the current level.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from the 30-minute up to the daily, with the strongest conviction in the 2-hour and 4-hour charts (4/5). The 15-minute is choppy and slightly bullish, but that is a minor offset. The nearest resistance at 1.41125 has held, and the nearest support at 1.40323 is the immediate downside target. The confluence of multiple indicator groups and the alignment across higher timeframes give this SELL signal moderate strength, suggesting that a move toward support is likely if the current resistance continues to cap upside attempts.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all higher timeframes (30m to 1d) supports the bearish direction.
▼ Confluence of candlestick (Northern Doji, Hanging Man) and indicator signals strengthens the case.
▼ The EMA 50 retreat and HMA retreat indicate price is pulling back from resistance, confirming seller control.
▼ Strong trend scores on 2h and 4h (4/5) suggest the broader momentum is bearish.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute timeframe is bullish and choppy, which could cause short-term bounces against the trend.
▲ The KST and QQE crosses up may signal a temporary pause or counter-move, potentially delaying the expected decline.
▲ If the 1.41125 resistance is broken, the bearish thesis is weakened and a move higher could follow.
▲ Momentum is only moderate, so the move may be gradual rather than sharp; watch for fading momentum on the 30-minute chart.