USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 08:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.04 %

Entry

1.40510

Target

1.40269 +0.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41125 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.65
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal is firing on the 30-minute chart, with 86% probability.
All major moving averages and trend indicators are aligned downward, confirming selling pressure.
The trend is consistent across all timeframes, with the strongest bearish momentum on the 2h and 4h charts.
Watch the nearest support at 1.40323; a break below it would reinforce the bearish case.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a very strong bearish signal, with a probability of 86%. The confluence of multiple moving average-based indicators (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, DEMA) all retreating downward, alongside a strong ADX trend and a trendline retreat, points to a broad-based selling pressure. This is not a single indicator but a cluster of momentum and trend-following tools aligning in the same direction.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, though the strength varies. The 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes show very strong trends (4/5), while the 1-hour and daily timeframes are solid (3/5). The shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are still forming (2/5), which suggests the move is still developing and could gain momentum. The nearest support sits at 1.40323, while resistance is at 1.40677, giving a tight range for immediate price action. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a push above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend scores on higher timeframes (2h, 4h) support the bearish move.
▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, DEMA) provide confluence.
▼ ADX Trend Strong indicates a solid trend, not just a random pullback.
▼ The trendline retreat adds a structural element to the bearish signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m trends are still forming (2/5), so momentum could stall.
▲ Resistance at 1.40677 is very close; a break above it would invalidate the sell signal.
▲ If the higher timeframe trends (1d) weaken, the move could lose steam.
▲ Tight range between support and resistance means quick reversals are possible.