USD/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 05:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.25 %

Entry

1.40510

Target

1.37593 +2.08 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.43000 −1.77 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.41
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.38
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.96
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.89
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.77
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.63

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All timeframes are bearish, with strongest momentum on 2H and 4H.
Multiple indicators confirm downside pressure; watch for price to approach 1.37593 support.
Resistance at 1.43000 is the key invalidation level for the bearish bias.
Trend scores are solid, but the 15m/30m are only forming, so entry timing matters.

The 4H USD/CAD signal is strongly bearish, with a 91% probability and very strong strength. A confluence of indicators — including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and WILLR OS Entry — points to persistent downside pressure. The retreat patterns across DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA, and MIDPOINT confirm that price is consistently closing below key dynamic levels, reinforcing the bearish momentum. The candlestick and indicator groups align, suggesting a well-rounded bearish setup.

Trend alignment across timeframes is robust: all timeframes from 15m to 1d are bearish, with the 2H and 4H showing very strong trends (4/5). This broad alignment supports a continuation of the move. The nearest resistance at 1.43000 acts as a potential invalidation zone if price reclaims it, while the nearest support at 1.37593 is the immediate downside target. A break below that support could open deeper declines, but traders should watch for any reversal signals near these levels.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of bearish trends across all timeframes (15m to 1d).
▼ High probability (91%) and very strong signal strength.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) firing bearish patterns.
▼ Retreat patterns across several moving averages confirm price is below dynamic support.

Risk Factors

▲ A break above 1.43000 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Shorter timeframes (15m/30m) are only forming, so momentum could stall early.
▲ Nearby support at 1.37593 may cause a bounce if not broken decisively.
▲ If the 1D trend weakens, the higher timeframe could conflict with the 4H signal.