USD/CAD – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.16 %
Entry
1.40524
Target
1.37593 +2.09 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.43000 −1.76 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 235 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 235 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.67 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (15.51)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CAD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.66
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.43
▼ TEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.26
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.08
▼ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators and timeframes.
  • Watch the 1.37593 support as the key downside target; a break could open further downside.
  • Resistance at 1.43000 is the immediate upside barrier; a reclaim would invalidate bearish momentum.
  • 15m bullish divergence is a minor caution, but higher timeframes dominate.
The USD/CAD 8H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down, and a Bearish Engulfing candlestick. This confluence indicates strong downward momentum and a likely continuation of the selloff. The alignment across multiple timeframes—from 30m up to 1d—all showing bearish trends, with the 2H and 4H at very strong strength, reinforces the signal's validity. The nearest resistance at 1.43000 and support at 1.37593 define the immediate trading range, with the support level acting as a key target and potential pivot.

The trend is consistently bearish across the board, with the exception of the 15m timeframe which is still forming a bullish trend. This minor divergence suggests that while the larger picture is clearly bearish, short-term counter-trend moves may occur. The strong alignment across higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) provides a solid foundation for the bearish outlook. Traders should monitor the price action as it approaches the support at 1.37593, as a break below could accelerate the decline, while a bounce might indicate a temporary correction. The high probability and very strong strength of this signal suggest a high-conviction setup, but always respect the levels and manage risk accordingly.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple independent indicators (BOP, STOCHF, MAMA, TEMA, ALMA, SUPERTREND) all point down simultaneously.
  • ▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick confirms seller control on the 8H chart.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 30m to 1D with very strong strength on 2H and 4H.
  • ▼ Probability rated at 100% with very strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ 15m timeframe is still bullish and trend forming, which could trigger short-term counter-trend rallies.
  • ▲ Support at 1.37593 is a major level; a bounce there could invalidate the continuation of the downtrend.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 1.43000, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
  • ▲ Watch for fading momentum on lower timeframes if the decline stalls near support.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-21 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.43000 2026-10-14
S1 1.37593 2026-09-08
S2 1.37317 2026-08-21

Tags

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