USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 05:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.41 %

Entry

0.82519

Target

0.82178 +0.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82704 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.54
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.79
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.72
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.59
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.22
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.85
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 2H signal stack is strongly bearish, with momentum and trend indicators aligned to the downside.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) show a forming downtrend, supporting the bearish bias, but lower timeframes are choppy.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.82704; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
The nearest support at 0.82178 is the immediate downside target; a break below it could accelerate selling.

The 2H USD/CHF signal stack is heavily bearish, with a cluster of momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside. AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend initially suggested upward momentum, but the subsequent AROONOSC Zero Cross Up and CMO Zero Cross Down indicate that buying pressure has faded and selling momentum is taking over. The RSI Midline Cross Down and WILLR OB Exit confirm a shift from overbought conditions, while the BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down and EMA 200 Retreat Down signal that price is breaking below dynamic support and the longer-term moving average is turning lower. This confluence of signals suggests that the recent bounce has stalled and downside pressure is building.

Across timeframes, the bias is predominantly bearish, though choppy conditions on the 15m through 12h charts indicate a lack of strong trend conviction. The 4h, 8h, and 1d timeframes show a forming downtrend, which supports the bearish case, but the 1h timeframe remains bullish, creating a mixed picture. The nearest resistance at 0.82704 is the key level to watch; a break back above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, a move toward the nearest support at 0.82178 would confirm the downside momentum. Given the moderate strength and choppy conditions, traders should expect potential whipsaws and wait for confirmation before committing.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (CMO, RSI, WILLR) confirm a shift from overbought to bearish conditions.
▼ Price breaking below the BBANDS middle and EMA 200 on the 2H chart signals a loss of bullish momentum.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 1D) are forming downtrends, aligning with the 2H bearish signal.
▼ Aroon indicators suggest that the recent uptrend is losing strength, with a cross down in AroonOSC confirming bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H timeframe remains bullish, which could conflict with the 2H bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on multiple timeframes increase the risk of false signals and whipsaws.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.82704 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The overall trend strength is moderate, so the bearish move may lack momentum and stall near support.