USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 08:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.00 %

Entry

158.153

Target

158.603 +0.28 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.826 −0.21 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, AO Saucer Bullish, STOCHF KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.07
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.45
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.41
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.25

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 1H bullish signal with 88% probability and very strong strength, but higher timeframes are mostly bearish or sideways.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.60300 for confirmation of the bullish move.
A break below nearest support at 157.82600 would invalidate the signal.
The signal may be an early reversal attempt, so confirm with price action before committing.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is a strong bullish confluence of seven indicators, including a BOP zero cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and an AO saucer pattern, all pointing to momentum shifting higher. However, the higher timeframes (15m through 8h) are still bearish or choppy/sideways with trend scores of 1-2/5, indicating that the broader trend has not yet turned. Only the 12H and 1D timeframes show a bullish bias, but also with weak trend strength. This suggests the 1H signal may be an early counter-trend move within a larger bearish or ranging environment.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.60300 and support at 157.82600. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and align with the higher timeframe bullish bias, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal and likely signal a continuation of the bearish trend. Traders should treat this as a high-probability but counter-trend opportunity, with the signal's strength offset by the lack of trend alignment across most timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of seven bullish indicators on the 1H timeframe, including BOP zero cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and AO saucer pattern.
▲ Higher timeframes (12H and 1D) show a bullish bias, providing potential longer-term support.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability suggest robust momentum in the near term.

Risk Factors

▼ Most timeframes (15m to 8h) are bearish or choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of trend alignment that could cap upside.
▼ The signal is counter-trend, so it may be a false start if the broader bearish trend reasserts.
▼ A drop below 157.82600 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely lead to further downside.
▼ Weak trend scores (1-2/5) across timeframes suggest the market lacks clear direction, increasing the risk of whipsaws.