USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 13:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.26 %

Entry

158.106

Target

158.603 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.694 −0.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), WILLR OS Exit, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 581 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.53
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.21
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.06
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.85
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.74
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.61
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.45
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.40
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.26
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.12

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish oscillators (BOP, CCI, STOCH, WILLR) fired together, indicating a strong oversold bounce setup.
The 15m timeframe is solidly bullish, but 30m-4h are bearish/forming, so this is a counter-trend long, not a trend reversal.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.60300: a break above confirms the bounce; failure to reach it signals fading momentum.
Invalidation is below support at 157.82600—a close under that level would negate the bullish signal.

The USD/JPY 2H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish oscillators and momentum indicators at 18:00 UTC on 2026-10-21, with a very strong 90% probability. The BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Exit all point to a fresh upside push after an oversold condition, while the BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up and HT SINE Zero Cross Down add confluence. The candlestick and Fibonacci groups reinforce the idea that the pair is turning higher from a defined support zone. However, the trend map is mixed: the 15m timeframe shows a solid bullish trend, but the 30m through 4h timeframes are bearish and forming, and the 8h is choppy/sideways. This suggests the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish or sideways structure, so the bullish read is strongest for the immediate short term.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.60300 and support at 157.82600. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and open the path higher, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the bearish trend. Given the mixed higher timeframes, traders should treat this as a tactical long with a tight risk management plan, not a trend change. The confluence of multiple oversold-exit signals and the 15m trend alignment provide a solid case for a bounce, but the bearish 1H-4H structure means the move could stall if momentum fades quickly.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold-exit signals (CCI, WILLR, CTI) align, suggesting the selling pressure is exhausted.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up add momentum confluence, increasing the chance of a sustained push.
▲ The 15m trend is solidly bullish, providing a short-term tailwind for the bounce.
▲ Fibonacci and candlestick groups add pattern confluence, supporting the idea of a reversal from a key level.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H-4H timeframes are bearish and forming, which could cap the upside and turn the bounce into a bearish continuation.
▼ The 8H and 12H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional commitment on higher timeframes.
▼ If the pair fails to break above 158.60300, the bullish signal loses credibility and a pullback to support is likely.
▼ A break below 157.82600 would invalidate the signal and likely trigger a sharper decline, so that level is the key invalidation.