USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 12:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.15 %

Entry

157.920

Target

158.391 +0.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.145 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, KDJ OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	2.12
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.06
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.89
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.89
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.87
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.75
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish oscillator cluster on 30M suggests a high-probability bounce from oversold levels.
Broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move, not a reversal.
Key levels: resistance at 158.39100, support at 157.82600 — watch for a break or rejection.
Trade with caution; the bounce may be short-lived if higher timeframes remain bearish.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish oscillators — BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit, RSX OS Entry, HMA Retreat Up, and ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat — indicating a strong oversold bounce attempt. With probability at 100% and strength very strong, the signal is unambiguous: momentum is shifting upward from deeply depressed levels. However, the broader trend context is mostly bearish across timeframes, with only the 12h and 1d showing weak bullish bias. This suggests the move is a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend, not a reversal. The nearest resistance at 158.39100 is the immediate hurdle; a break above would confirm the bounce, while support at 157.82600 is the invalidation zone if the bounce fails.

The alignment across timeframes is mixed: the higher timeframes (4h, 8h) remain bearish and choppy, while the 12h and 1d are barely bullish. This creates a tug-of-war — the 30M signal is firing against the prevailing bearish trend, which reduces its reliability. The confluence of multiple oscillator exits from oversold conditions and the HMA retreat adds weight, but the lack of trend agreement means the bounce could stall quickly. Traders should watch how price interacts with the 158.39100 resistance; a rejection would validate the bearish higher-timeframe trend, while a sustained break could shift the short-term bias. The support at 157.82600 is the critical line — losing it would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exits (RSI, WILLR, KDJ) and a KDJ cross up indicate strong momentum shift.
▲ HMA retreat up and ACCBANDS lower retreat suggest price is pulling back from extreme lows.
▲ The 12h and 1d timeframes are bullish, providing a weak higher-timeframe tailwind.
▲ Probability at 100% and very strong signal strength increase confidence in the immediate move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h) are bearish and choppy, which could cap the bounce.
▼ The 30M signal is counter to the prevailing trend, so it may be a short-lived correction.
▼ If price fails to break 158.39100, the bounce could fade and resume the downtrend.
▼ Watch the support at 157.82600 — a break below would invalidate the bullish signal.