AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.20 %
Entry
110.587
Target
110.361 +0.20 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.308 −0.65 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, Trendline Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 3.24
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.51
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.50
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.41
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.41
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.83
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.24
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.12
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 1.02
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.88
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.78
▼ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute timeframe with high probability (92%).
  • Trend is bearish across most timeframes, but the 8-hour is choppy and the 12-hour is mildly bullish.
  • Key levels: resistance at 111.30800, support at 110.54700.
  • Watch for a break below support to confirm the move, or a reclaim of resistance to invalidate.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and WILLR OS Entry, alongside multiple retreat signals from DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA. This confluence indicates strong downward momentum and a coordinated shift across momentum, trend, and volatility indicators. The trend is consistently bearish from the 15-minute through the 4-hour timeframes, with a solid trend score on the 15-minute and forming trends on the others, reinforcing the bearish bias. However, the 8-hour timeframe is choppy and sideways, and the 12-hour is mildly bullish, suggesting that the longer-term context is not fully aligned.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.30800 and support at 110.54700. The cluster of signals suggests a high-probability move toward the support level, but the conflicting higher timeframes and the choppy 8-hour trend warrant caution. A break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the setup. The high probability (92%) and very strong strength reflect the alignment across multiple indicators, but traders should monitor for any signs of momentum fade, especially if the 1-hour trend weakens or the 12-hour bullish bias gains traction.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicator confluence (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 4h timeframes, all bearish.
  • ▼ Strong trend score on the 15-minute (3/5) supporting the immediate momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframe conflict: 12-hour is bullish, which could counter the bearish signal.
  • ▲ 8-hour trend is choppy/sideways, indicating lack of broader trend support.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 111.30800, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the 1-hour trend weakens or the 15-minute trend score drops.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.30800 2026-10-22
S1 110.54700 2026-10-21
S2 110.36100 2026-10-20
S3 109.62800 2026-10-16

Tags

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