USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 09:00 UTC 43 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.16 %

Entry

157.197

Target

156.912 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.251 −0.67 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, Trendline Break Down, Stoch Hidden Bear Div +11 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 2 % (1.37) ▼ Bearish 98 % (61.76)

model score 97.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.63
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.53
▼	Stoch Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.44
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.31
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.29
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.20
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.07
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30M timeframe with multiple confirming indicators (trendline break, triangle, moving average retreats).
Short-term STOCHF KD Cross Up may offer a temporary bounce, but the overall trend is down.
Higher timeframes are not strongly bearish, so the sell signal is best suited for short-term trades.
Watch the 158.25100 resistance level—a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.

The 30-minute USD/JPY signal is decisively bearish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical events: a Trendline Break Down, a Descending Triangle, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) all pointing lower. The STOCHF KD Cross Up adds a short-term counter-move within the broader downtrend, but it is likely a pullback opportunity within the prevailing bearish structure. The signal groups—divergence, trendline, indicator, and chart pattern—reinforce the bearish thesis, suggesting a high-conviction setup.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is strongest on the 15-minute and 30-minute charts, with solid alignment (4/5 and 3/5 trend scores). However, the higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) show only choppy or sideways bearish momentum, and the 1-day chart is actually bullish, albeit weak. This means the immediate sell signal is well-supported on the lower timeframes, but the lack of confirmation on higher timeframes introduces uncertainty. The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is the key level to watch; a break above it would weaken the bearish case, while a rejection there would confirm the downtrend. No nearest support is listed, highlighting the potential for extended downside if the trend continues.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals across different groups (trendline, chart pattern, indicators).
▼ Strong trend alignment on 15m and 30m timeframes (4/5 and 3/5 trend scores).
▼ Moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all pointing lower, reinforcing the downtrend.
▼ Descending Triangle pattern suggests continued downside potential.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, etc.) show only choppy or sideways bearish momentum, lacking strong confirmation.
▲ The 1-day chart is bullish, which could act as a counter-trend force if it strengthens.
▲ The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is close; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up might signal a short-term bounce that could catch sellers off guard.