AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-22 09:00 UTC 43 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.10 %

Entry

110.204

Target

109.628 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.308 −1.00 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Momentum Regular Bear Div, MACD Hist Regular Bear Div, RSI Regular Bear Div +10 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (45.85)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Momentum Regular Bear Div	divergence	3.04
▼	MACD Hist Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.69
▼	RSI Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.64
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.53
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.44
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	SMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.11
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.97
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart, with multiple moving average and trendline retreats, points to a solid short-term downtrend.
Lower timeframes (15M and 30M) show solid bearish trends, while higher timeframes (1H-4H) are forming bearish, aligning in direction.
The nearest support at 109.62800 is the key downside level to watch; a break below would confirm continuation.
The nearest resistance at 111.30800 is the invalidation zone; a reclaim would signal a potential reversal.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MAMA retreats, a break below the SMA 200, and a trendline retreat, all confirming a strong downtrend. The confluence of these indicators on the 30M timeframe, combined with a solid bearish trend on the 15M and 30M, points to a well-established short-term selloff. While higher timeframes (1H to 4H) show only forming bearish trends, they align in direction, reinforcing the bearish case. The 8H is choppy/sideways and the 12H is even mildly bullish, indicating that the longer-term picture is less clear, so the current sell signal is best viewed as a short-term opportunity.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 111.30800, which could act as a ceiling if a pullback occurs, and the nearest support at 109.62800, which is the primary downside target. A break below support would confirm the continuation of the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the strong signal strength and alignment across the lower timeframes, the bias is clearly to the downside, but traders should be aware of the choppy higher timeframes that may limit the follow-through.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of multiple independent indicators (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA) all retreating simultaneously.
▼ Break below the SMA 200, a widely watched trend filter, adds weight to the bearish case.
▼ Trend alignment across 15M, 30M, 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, all bearish, supports the signal.
▼ Signal strength rated 'very strong' with a 100% probability, indicating high confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The 8H timeframe is choppy/sideways and the 12H is bullish, suggesting the longer-term trend is not fully bearish, which could limit the move.
▲ A reclaim of the 111.30800 resistance level would invalidate the signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum may fade if the price fails to break below the nearest support, leading to a consolidation phase.
▲ Higher timeframe trends are only 'forming' (2/5 strength), so the bearish move may lack the fuel for a sustained decline.