AVAX/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.22 %
Entry
9.1390
Target
10.0540 +10.01 %
closes in profit
Stop
9.0175 −1.33 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,590 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 10,590 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Up, SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, STOCH KD Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
63.8 % ↓ −3.3 vs previous candle
STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 86 % (8.11) ▼ Bearish 14 % (1.37)
model score 85.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.0 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 45.0 % vs 22.2 % (crypto, 2,906 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AVAX/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 86%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 18:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.63
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.59
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.57
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.56
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.42
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.40
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.37
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.25
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.97
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 0.81

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bullish reversal signal has fired on the 30-minute chart, but it is counter to a broadly bearish trend across all timeframes.
  • The cluster of momentum and volatility indicators suggests a potential short-term bounce, but the higher-timeframe downtrend remains dominant.
  • Watch the 10.05400 resistance — a decisive break above it would confirm the reversal, while failure to reach it would favor the bearish trend.
  • Given the lack of defined support, risk is elevated; any bounce that stalls could see renewed downside pressure.
The AVA/USDT 30-minute signal fires a dense cluster of momentum and volatility indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up — all pointing to a sharp bullish reversal attempt after an oversold condition. The signal's 91% probability and very strong strength suggest high conviction in this short-term bounce, but the broader trend context is uniformly bearish across all timeframes, with the 30-minute itself showing a very strong bearish trend (4/5) before this signal. This creates a classic counter-trend setup: the immediate momentum shift is powerful, yet it is firing against the prevailing downtrend. Key resistance sits at 10.05400, which is the nearest ceiling; a reclaim of that level would be the first meaningful test. There is no defined nearest support, meaning the downside is open and invalidation would be a failure to hold any bounce above the recent lows.
Catalysts
  • ▲ A dense confluence of indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH, BBANDS, DEMA, ER, KDJ, SMI) all firing in the same direction increases the probability of a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ The signal's very strong strength and 91% probability indicate robust momentum behind the reversal attempt.
  • ▲ The oversold exit (CCI OS Exit) and KDJ cross up suggest that selling pressure may be exhausting, setting up a potential mean-reversion move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The broader trend is bearish across every timeframe, with the 30-minute itself showing a very strong bearish trend before the signal; counter-trend signals often fail or produce only shallow bounces.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 10.05400 is a nearby ceiling; if the bounce stalls below it, the reversal signal is invalidated.
  • ▼ There is no defined support level, meaning the downside is open; a failure to hold any bounce could lead to accelerated declines.
  • ▼ The 4-hour timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating that higher-timeframe momentum is weak and may not support a sustained move.
Symbol AVAX/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 86%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 18:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 10.05400 2026-10-21

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