BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 15:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.14 %

Entry

81,545.05

Target

81,322.22 +0.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,898.00 −4.11 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,590 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 10,590 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↑ +17.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 14 % (3.75) ▼ Bearish 86 % (22.34)

model score 85.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 15:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.34
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.29
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment on the 30-minute and adjacent timeframes supports a sell bias.
Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH KD, EMA/SMA retreat, HMA) confirm downward momentum.
Watch the nearest support at 81,322; a break could extend the decline, while a hold might trigger a bounce.
Oversold conditions (CTI OS Entry) may cause short-term rallies, so manage risk accordingly.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT signal is strongly bearish, with an 83% probability and a strong trend score of 4/5. Multiple indicators align to confirm downward momentum: the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, EMA and SMA Retreat Down, and HMA Direction Down all point to sustained selling pressure. The CTI OS Entry suggests oversold conditions, which could lead to short-term bounces, but the overall indicator confluence supports the bearish bias. The ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, however, hints at a possible bullish divergence, adding nuance to the picture.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with the strongest conviction at 30 minutes. The 8-hour and 12-hour timeframes show choppy, sideways action, and the 1-day timeframe is mildly bullish, indicating that the bearish move is likely a shorter-term correction within a larger consolidation. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 84,898 and support at 81,322. A break below support would confirm continued downside, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the bearish signal. Traders should monitor these levels for shifts in momentum.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 4h timeframes, with the strongest signal on the 30m.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) reinforcing the bearish case.
▼ High probability (83%) and strong trend score (4/5) on the signal timeframe.
▼ Downward EMA and SMA retreats confirm price is below key moving averages.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe 1d is mildly bullish, suggesting the bearish move may be a correction within a larger uptrend.
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicates a potential bullish divergence, which could undermine the bearish signal.
▲ Oversold conditions (CTI OS Entry) could lead to a mean-reversion bounce, especially if support holds.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 84,898 would invalidate the bearish setup.