EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.24 %
Entry
177.225
Target
176.660 +0.32 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.767 −0.31 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (40.32)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 100%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 3.21
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 3.15
▼ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 3.08
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.40
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.25
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.01
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.73
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.12
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.92
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 0.76

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart with multiple indicators aligned.
  • Momentum is strongest on lower timeframes; higher timeframes are less decisive.
  • Watch the 177.13600 support; a break could open the door to further downside.
  • Resistance at 177.76700 is the key invalidation level for this bearish signal.
The EUR/JPY pair is showing a strong bearish signal on the 30-minute timeframe, with a 96% probability and very strong strength. A confluence of indicators has fired, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down, alongside multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA). These signals collectively point to a decisive shift in momentum, with sellers taking control as key trendlines and support levels are breached.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the trend strength varies. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes show the most solid bearish trends, while the 1-hour and 4-hour are choppy and sideways, indicating that the immediate momentum is strong but the broader picture may be less directional. The nearest resistance at 177.76700 and support at 177.13600 are critical levels to watch; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish case.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicator groups (fibonacci, trendline, candlestick) align in the bearish direction.
  • ▼ Trendline break and moving average retreats confirm loss of upside momentum.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, even if strength varies, supports the signal.
  • ▼ High probability (96%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 4H) show choppy/sideways action, suggesting the bearish trend may lack depth.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 177.76700 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the 30M trend fails to propagate to higher timeframes.
  • ▲ Nearby support at 177.13600 may provide a temporary floor, slowing the decline.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.76700 2026-10-21
R2 177.83400 2026-10-21
R3 177.92000 2026-10-20
S1 177.13600 2026-10-20
S2 176.92300 2026-10-19
S3 176.66000 2026-10-19

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