EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL 2× UPDATEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout +13 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(22 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 2× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout | indicator | 3.21 |
| ▼ | BBANDS LOWER Break Down | indicator | 3.15 |
| ▼ | ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout | indicator | 3.08 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 2.40 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest | fibonacci | 1.73 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low | indicator | 1.12 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.92 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 0.76 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart with multiple indicators aligned.
- Momentum is strongest on lower timeframes; higher timeframes are less decisive.
- Watch the 177.13600 support; a break could open the door to further downside.
- Resistance at 177.76700 is the key invalidation level for this bearish signal.
Across higher timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the trend strength varies. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes show the most solid bearish trends, while the 1-hour and 4-hour are choppy and sideways, indicating that the immediate momentum is strong but the broader picture may be less directional. The nearest resistance at 177.76700 and support at 177.13600 are critical levels to watch; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish case.
- ▼ Multiple indicator groups (fibonacci, trendline, candlestick) align in the bearish direction.
- ▼ Trendline break and moving average retreats confirm loss of upside momentum.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, even if strength varies, supports the signal.
- ▼ High probability (96%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 4H) show choppy/sideways action, suggesting the bearish trend may lack depth.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 177.76700 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the 30M trend fails to propagate to higher timeframes.
- ▲ Nearby support at 177.13600 may provide a temporary floor, slowing the decline.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 177.76700 | 2026-10-21 |
| R2 | 177.83400 | 2026-10-21 |
| R3 | 177.92000 | 2026-10-20 |
| S1 | 177.13600 | 2026-10-20 |
| S2 | 176.92300 | 2026-10-19 |
| S3 | 176.66000 | 2026-10-19 |