USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 00:00 UTC 45 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

158.092

Target

158.603 +0.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.700 −0.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +3.6 vs previous candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 75 % (8.04) ▼ Bearish 25 % (2.71)

model score 74.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.6 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 448 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.98
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.92
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	1.16
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum oscillators are all flipping bullish on the 30-minute chart, but the higher timeframes are mostly bearish or choppy.
The signal is weak (64% probability) and likely a counter-trend bounce rather than a new trend.
Watch the 158.39100 resistance as the immediate upside barrier; a break above could signal stronger momentum, but failure here favors the bearish trend.
A drop below 157.83800 support would invalidate the bullish signal and confirm the broader bearish bias.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal fires a cluster of momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, DI, DM, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing in a bullish direction, alongside a candlestick pattern. This suggests a short-term momentum shift is attempting to form, but the broader trend context is cautionary: the 30-minute and 15-minute timeframes are bearish and choppy, while the 1-hour and 1-day are bullish but also choppy. The 2-hour timeframe shows a developing bearish trend, which conflicts with the immediate bullish momentum.

Given the weak strength and the mixed higher timeframe alignment, this signal is best interpreted as a potential counter-trend bounce within a broader bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 158.39100 is the immediate upside target, while support at 157.83800 is the invalidation zone if the bounce fails. The choppy conditions across most timeframes suggest limited follow-through, so traders should expect possible whipsaws and require confirmation before committing.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, etc.) all crossing up simultaneously.
▲ Presence of a candlestick pattern adds a price-action confirmation to the momentum shift.
▲ The 1-hour and 1-day timeframes are bullish, providing some higher-timeframe support for the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, especially the 2-hour which is 'trend forming' bearish; this argues against sustained upside.
▼ All timeframes except 1h and 1d are choppy/sideways, indicating low conviction and high noise.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.39100 is close, and if price fails there, the bullish signal likely fails; watch for a rejection.
▼ Weak signal strength (64%) and low trend scores (1/5) suggest the bounce may be short-lived.