USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.18 %

Entry

157.626

Target

157.339 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.344 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.53
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.69
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.60
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30m chart with multiple indicator groups firing together.
All intraday timeframes (15m to 12h) are bearish, but higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, so the move may be corrective.
Nearest resistance at 158.34400 is the key level to watch; a break below could accelerate downside.
The 1-day bullish bias is a major counter-trend factor, so treat this as a short-term sell, not a long-term reversal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA), and momentum indicators like ADX Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down. The confluence of these signals across indicator groups (indicator, indicator3, trendline, candlestick) suggests a strong, coordinated bearish push. The trend is bearish across all timeframes from 15m up to 12h, with the 30m and 2h showing forming trends (2/5) and the 15m showing a solid trend (3/5). However, the higher timeframes (1h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are choppy/sideways, indicating that the bearish move is still in its early stages and may face resistance from broader consolidation. The 1-day timeframe is bullish, which adds a conflicting higher-timeframe bias and suggests the sell signal could be a correction within a larger uptrend.

The nearest resistance sits at 158.34400, which is likely the level that the breakdown is targeting to test or break. With no nearest support identified, the downside may be open, but traders should be cautious given the choppy higher timeframes. The very strong probability (92%) and strong trend score on the 30m support the bearish case, but the lack of support levels and the bullish 1-day bias are key risks. The signal is best interpreted as a short-term bearish opportunity, but it should be managed with tight risk controls and a clear invalidation level, likely around the broken trendline or the 158.34400 resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all intraday timeframes (15m to 12h) supports the bearish direction.
▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) confirm consistent selling pressure.
▼ ADX Trend Strong indicates strong trend momentum, and BOP Zero Cross Down confirms bearish pressure.
▼ High probability (92%) and very strong strength signal add confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1-day timeframe is bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a pullback within a larger uptrend.
▲ Higher timeframes (1h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the trend is not fully established and may reverse.
▲ No nearest support level identified, so downside may be open, but that also means no clear target; watch for a failure to break below the recent lows.
▲ If the price breaks back above the broken trendline or 158.34400 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.