AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 17:00 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

110.364

Target

111.308 +0.86 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.489 −0.79 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −21.3 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +10% Intraday

▲ Bullish 95 % (32.58) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.75)

model score 26.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.03
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.88
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.75
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.75
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.19
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.19
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.18
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.09
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals are firing on the 1H, but the higher timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend signal.
Watch the 111.30800 resistance: a break above would confirm the bullish move; failure to break could see a pullback.
Support at 109.48900 is the invalidation zone—if price falls below, the signal is void.
The signal is very strong on the 1H, but trend alignment is weak, so expect possible chop or sideways action.

The BUY signal on AUD/JPY at the 1H timeframe is built on a cluster of momentum and trend indicators, including MACD Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, and multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE). This suggests that buying pressure is emerging after a period of weakness, with the crossovers pointing to a shift in short-term momentum. However, the broader timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, with the 2H timeframe showing a solid downtrend and the 1H itself still marked as bearish in the trend assessment. This creates a conflicting picture: the signal is firing against the higher-timeframe trend, which reduces its reliability.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.30800 and support at 109.48900. A decisive break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal. Given the mixed trend alignment—only the 15m and 30m are bullish, and they are weak—the signal may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a sustained reversal. Traders should treat this as a high-risk, high-reward setup, waiting for confirmation on higher timeframes or a clear break of the resistance level.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (MACD, BOP, STOCHF) all crossing up on the 1H, showing strong short-term buying pressure.
▲ The retreat-up signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE) suggest that price is moving back above key moving averages, a typical bullish setup.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, providing some intraday support for the move.
▲ The signal strength is 'very strong' with high probability, indicating a high confluence of indicators on the 1H.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, meaning the broader trend is against this long position.
▼ The 1H trend itself is still bearish, so the signal may be a short-lived bounce rather than a reversal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 111.30800 is a major hurdle; if price fails to break it, the bullish momentum could fade.
▼ If price drops below the 109.48900 support, the signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.