AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-10-23 16:00 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

110.412

Target

111.308 +0.81 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.793 −0.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 9 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Symmetrical Triangle, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % ↑ +20.4 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 71 % (16.60) ▼ Bearish 29 % (6.80)

model score 70.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 10 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Symmetrical Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	4.00
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.79
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.78
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.76
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.75
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.71
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.52
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on the 30-minute chart, but the higher timeframes are mostly bearish—treat as a counter-trend move.
Watch the 111.30800 resistance; a clean break would confirm the triangle breakout and add conviction.
The 109.79300 support is the invalidation level—if price falls below, the bullish setup is void.
Momentum is building from multiple indicator retreats, but choppy price action on the 30-minute chart warrants caution.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute signal fires a strong bullish alert (86% probability, very strong strength) driven by a Symmetrical Triangle breakout and a cluster of moving-average and trendline retreats to the upside. The confluence of multiple indicators—including EMA, DEMA, KAMA, and MA retreats up—suggests momentum is building within the compressed triangle pattern, which often precedes a directional expansion. However, the broader timeframe context is predominantly bearish, with the 2-hour chart showing a solid downtrend (3/5 strength), creating a clear conflict between the short-term bullish setup and the higher-timeframe trend.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 111.30800 as the immediate upside target; a sustained move above this level would confirm the breakout and potentially shift the medium-term bias. Conversely, the nearest support at 109.79300 is the invalidation zone—if price retreats here, the bullish setup loses credibility. The 30-minute trend itself is choppy/sideways (1/5 strength), so the signal may be an early counter-trend move rather than a reversal. The alignment across timeframes is weak, with only the 15-minute chart also bullish, so the signal should be treated as a tactical opportunity within a larger bearish context, not a trend change.

Catalysts

▲ Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the signal timeframe often leads to a strong directional move upon breakout.
▲ Confluence of eight+ indicators (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, HT TRENDLINE) all retreating up suggests coordinated buying pressure.
▲ The 15-minute chart is also bullish, providing short-term alignment with the signal.
▲ High probability (86%) and very strong strength indicate robust signal conviction.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bearish, with the 2-hour showing a solid downtrend—this could overpower the short-term bullish move.
▼ The 30-minute trend is choppy/sideways (1/5 strength), suggesting the bullish signal may be a false breakout within a range.
▼ If price fails to break above 111.30800 and instead falls below 109.79300, the signal is invalidated and the bearish trend resumes.
▼ The triangle pattern may be a continuation pattern rather than a reversal, so the breakout could fail if volume/momentum fades.