AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
14 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.32 %
Entry
110.012
Target
110.364 +0.32 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.489 −0.48 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, QSTICK Zero Cross Up, STOCH OS Exit +11 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 30m 93%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.06
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.94
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.84
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.82
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.55
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.46
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.45
▼ COPPOCK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.34
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.33
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.26
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.26
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.21
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.18

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish momentum burst on 30m, but all higher timeframes remain bearish — treat as a counter-trend bounce.
  • Key resistance at 110.36400 is the immediate hurdle; support at 109.48900 is the invalidation level.
  • Oscillators (STOCH, WILLR) exiting oversold add weight, but trend scores are weak across timeframes.
  • No bullish confluence above 30m — expect limited follow-through unless higher timeframes turn.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute signal fires a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators — BOP, MOM, and ROC all cross above zero, while STOCH and WILLR exit oversold territory — alongside a Hodrick-Prescott trend-mode shift to cycle. This suggests a short-term bounce attempt within a broader bearish context, as all timeframes from 15m to 1d remain bearish. The immediate price action is likely to test the nearest resistance at 110.36400, with support at 109.48900 acting as the invalidation zone if the bounce fails.

The alignment across timeframes is weak: only the 30m and 1h show trend-forming strength, while higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 1d) are still bearish but not strongly trending. This means the bullish signal is counter-trend and likely a corrective rally rather than a reversal. The high probability (83%) reflects the confluence of oscillators exiting oversold, but the absence of higher-timeframe bullish confirmation caps the upside potential. Traders should watch how price interacts with the resistance level; a failure to break through would reinforce the dominant bearish trend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple zero-cross signals (BOP, MOM, ROC) confirm a shift in momentum.
  • ▲ STOCH and WILLR oversold exits indicate selling pressure is exhausting.
  • ▲ Hodrick-Prescott trend-mode shift to cycle suggests a potential regime change.
  • ▲ Strong signal probability (83%) and strength rating.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are all bearish — the bounce may be short-lived.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 110.36400 is close; a rejection would invalidate the bullish case.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 109.48900, the signal is invalidated and bearish trend resumes.
  • ▼ Trend scores are weak (1-3/5) across timeframes, indicating low conviction in the bullish move.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 10:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.36400 2026-10-22
R2 111.30800 2026-10-22
S1 109.48900 2026-10-23

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