AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-23 10:00 UTC 15 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.43 %

Entry

109.894

Target

109.489 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

110.364 −0.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.53
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.37
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.37
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators on the 30-minute chart, with an 86% probability.
All timeframes are bearish, but the trend is most solid in the 1h and 2h, while longer timeframes are choppy.
Watch the nearest support at 109.48900; a break could accelerate the downtrend, while resistance at 110.36400 is the key invalidation area.
The signal is very strong, but the trend is still forming on lower timeframes, so confirmation from price action is key.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a very strong bearish signal, with an 86% probability and a confluence of indicators all pointing lower. The BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OS Exit, and WILLR OS Entry all suggest that selling pressure is dominant and that the market is emerging from oversold conditions, which often precedes a continuation of the downtrend. The DX Trend Weak and the retreats from both DEMAs and EMA, along with the HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, confirm that the short-term trend is firmly bearish. The candlestick patterns add weight, and the overall signal is supported by a bearish alignment across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to 1 day, though the strength of that trend varies.

Across the timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, but the conviction is strongest in the 1-hour and 2-hour charts, which show solid trends (3/5). The 15-minute and 30-minute are still forming, while the 8-hour and 12-hour are choppy and sideways, indicating that the longer-term picture is less clear. This suggests that the current sell signal is part of a developing downtrend, but traders should be cautious of potential counter-trend moves. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 110.36400, which could act as a ceiling if price retraces, and the nearest support at 109.48900, which, if broken, would confirm the bearish momentum.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators align: BOP, CCI, WILLR, and DX all point to bearish conditions.
▼ Retreats from DEMAs, EMA, and HT TRENDLINE confirm downward momentum.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with solid trends in 1h and 2h providing a strong base.
▼ The signal includes candlestick patterns, adding confluence to the technical picture.

Risk Factors

▲ The trend is still forming on the 15m and 30m, so the signal could be early; a bounce to resistance at 110.36400 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Longer timeframes (8h, 12h) are choppy and sideways, suggesting a lack of strong conviction in the broader trend.
▲ The signal includes a STOCH KD Cross Up, which could indicate a short-term pullback within the larger downtrend, potentially leading to a temporary pause or reversal.
▲ If price holds above the nearest support and forms a higher low, the bearish signal may weaken.