AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-10-23 16:30 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

110.342

Target

109.793 +0.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.308 −0.88 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 17 % (4.14) ▼ Bearish 83 % (20.63)

model score 29.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	2.09
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.91
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	1.80
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.29
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.14
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals dominate the 30-minute timeframe, but strength is weak and momentum is fading.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are bearish, providing macro alignment for a potential downtrend.
Watch the 109.79300 support: a break below confirms bearish momentum; a bounce could signal a false start.
The Golden Cross and Phasor Inphase are bullish counter-signals, so the sell is not a high-conviction setup.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute signal is a confluence of bearish momentum indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Strong, STOCH KD Cross Down, and a KDJ OB Exit, all pointing to a loss of upward drive. The EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up are counter-signals that suggest some residual bullish structure, but the SMA 200 Retreat Down and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend reinforce the bearish shift. The signal's probability is 61% with weak strength, indicating a developing rather than confirmed reversal.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed but leans bearish: the 30-minute itself is choppy and sideways, while the 1-hour, 2-hour, and 4-hour timeframes show bearish trends, with the 2-hour being a solid trend. This alignment supports the bearish case, but the 15-minute bullish forming trend and the counter-signals on the signal's own timeframe introduce uncertainty. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 110.34600 and support at 109.79300; a break below support would strengthen the bearish outlook, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators (BOP, DX, STOCH, KDJ) align on the 30-minute timeframe.
▼ The 2-hour timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, adding weight to the direction.
▼ The SMA 200 Retreat Down and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend support a sustained bearish shift.
▼ Resistance at 110.34600 is nearby, offering a clear level to defend the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute timeframe is bullish and forming a trend, which could pull price upward against the signal.
▲ The Golden Cross and Phasor Inphase Cross Up indicate lingering bullish momentum, potentially stalling the sell.
▲ Weak signal strength and a choppy 30-minute trend mean the move may be shallow or prone to reversal.
▲ If price reclaims the 110.34600 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated and a bounce is likely.