AUD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 13:00 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

110.342

Target

111.308 +0.88 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.634 −1.55 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Up, SAR Flip Bullish, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +3.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 90 % (14.86) ▼ Bearish 10 % (1.62)

model score 90.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.12
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.01
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.91
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.13
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.11
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	0.99
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 4H are firing, but the broader trend is bearish across most timeframes—treat this as a potential counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 111.308: a break above could confirm bullish momentum; a rejection would keep the bearish bias intact.
Support at 108.634 is the critical invalidation level—if price falls below, the bullish signal loses credibility.
Trend scores are weak and choppy on many timeframes, so the bullish push may lack conviction; wait for confirmation on higher timeframes.

The AUD/JPY 4H signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, SAR Flip Bullish, KDJ Cross Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up) alongside a weakening bearish trend (DX Trend Weak) and an ER Level Cross Down, suggesting a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum on the 4H timeframe. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m and 30m timeframes show early bullish formation, the 1H through 1D timeframes remain bearish, with the 2H showing a solid bearish trend. This divergence implies that the bullish signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, and its sustainability is uncertain.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.308 and support at 108.634. A bullish breakout above resistance would confirm the reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. The moderate strength (71%) and the presence of multiple bullish indicators suggest some confluence, but the conflicting higher timeframes and the choppy nature of several timeframes warrant caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the evolution of the trend scores across timeframes to gauge whether the bullish momentum can overcome the prevailing bearish bias.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, SAR Flip Bullish, KDJ Cross Up) converge on the 4H timeframe, increasing the likelihood of a short-term bounce.
▲ The DX Trend Weak signal indicates the bearish trend is losing strength, which can pave the way for a reversal.
▲ The ER Level Cross Down and ERI BULL Zero Cross Up suggest that the recent bearish momentum is being challenged.
▲ Early bullish formation on the 15m and 30m timeframes provides a short-term tailwind for the signal.

Risk Factors

▼ The 2H timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), and the 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bearish, which could overpower the 4H bullish signal.
▼ The signal is only moderate strength (71%), and the trend scores on many timeframes are choppy or weak, indicating a lack of strong momentum.
▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 108.634, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend may resume.
▼ The resistance at 111.308 is relatively close; a rejection there could trap the move and lead to a reversal.