AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED
15 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.27 %
Entry
0.70173
Target
0.70365 +0.27 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69940 −0.33 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 1h 91%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ TEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.34
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 2.08
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.99
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.80
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.80
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ AO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.73
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.57
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.30
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.26
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 1.09
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.08
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.02

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on the 1H timeframe with multiple crossovers, but the daily trend is bearish—treat as counter-trend.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.70365 and support at 0.69940; a break above resistance confirms strength, below support invalidates.
  • Most timeframes are bullish but choppy, indicating limited follow-through; rely on the 1H signal for short-term entries.
  • Probability is high (86%) and strength very strong, but conflicting higher timeframe argues for tight risk control.
The AUD/USD 1H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish momentum and crossover indicators, including BOP, CMO, RSI, and BBANDS middle cross ups, alongside STOCH and STOCHF KD crosses. This confluence suggests a strong short-term buying impulse, supported by the very strong probability and strength scores. However, the broader context is mixed: while most timeframes from 15m to 12h are bullish, the 1H and 1D timeframes are bearish, with the 1D showing a solid downtrend. This creates a conflict between the immediate momentum and the higher-timeframe trend, implying the bullish signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70365 and support at 0.69940. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish momentum, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal and likely signal a continuation of the daily downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, given the bearish daily backdrop. The alignment across multiple short-term timeframes adds weight, but the 1D bearish trend and the choppy/sideways nature of many timeframes warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish crossovers (BOP, CMO, RSI, BBANDS) on the 1H timeframe.
  • ▲ Bullish alignment across 15m, 30m, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes, though choppy.
  • ▲ Strong signal strength and high probability (86%) suggest robust short-term momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish with a solid trend, which could override the short-term bullish move.
  • ▼ The 1H timeframe itself is bearish, creating a direct conflict with the signal direction.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways trends on most timeframes indicate weak trend persistence, risking false breakouts.
  • ▼ Watch the 0.69940 support; a close below it would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the daily downtrend.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70365 2026-10-22
S1 0.69940 2026-10-22
S2 0.69707 2026-10-20
S3 0.69363 2026-10-16

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