AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-22 22:30 UTC 43 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

0.70168

Target

0.69940 +0.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70365 −0.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +25% Scalping

▲ Bullish 21 % (4.32) ▼ Bearish 79 % (16.71)

model score 9.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.56
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.42
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.90
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.22
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.10
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish trend confirmed on 30M and 1H, but higher timeframes are still bullish—trade with caution.
Key levels: support at 0.69940 (target) and resistance at 0.70234 (invalidation).
Multiple indicators align for a sell, but the conflicting 4H/12H trend means the move may be limited.
Watch for a close below 0.69940 to strengthen the bearish case.

The AUD/USD 30-minute signal is firmly bearish, with a strong confluence of technical triggers. The trendline break down, Bearish Engulfing candle, and TTM TREND downward all align to confirm a shift in momentum. The ADXR trend strength and BOP zero cross down add weight, while the STOCH exit from overbought and T3/ALMA retreats suggest the pair is pulling back from recent highs. The signal probability of 79% reflects this multi-indicator agreement.

Across timeframes, the bearish case is strongest on the 30M and 1H charts, which are both forming trends, and the daily chart shows a solid downtrend. However, the 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes remain bullish, creating a conflict that tempers conviction. The nearest support at 0.69940 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 0.70234 marks the invalidation zone if price reclaims it. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, but a failure to hold the trendline break could see a bounce toward resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of trendline break, candlestick pattern, and multiple indicators on the 30M chart.
▼ Daily timeframe shows a solid downtrend (3/5), supporting the bearish bias.
▼ BOP zero cross down and ADXR trend strength confirm downside momentum.
▼ Exit from overbought conditions on STOCH adds to the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could stall or reverse the move.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.70234, the trendline break is invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways action on 15M and 2H suggests low trend strength—momentum may fade.
▲ The signal is on a low timeframe (30M), so it may be short-lived; watch for a bounce off support.