AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 07:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.43 %

Entry

9.3280

Target

9.0550 +2.93 %

closes in profit

Stop

10.0540 −7.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,797 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 10,797 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −30.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 10 % (2.31) ▼ Bearish 90 % (21.73)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 07:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.47
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.21
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.50
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.15

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators on the 30M timeframe align for a bearish move, but the lower timeframes are still bullish, so the sell signal may be early.
Watch the 9.05500 support—a break would confirm the bearish trend, while reclaiming 10.05400 would invalidate the signal.
The higher timeframe trend (2H and up) is bearish, providing medium-term support for the sell signal.
The Golden Cross on the 30M is a lagging indicator; don't treat it as a bullish reversal signal in isolation.

The 30-minute SELL signal on AVA/XUSDT is supported by a cluster of eight indicator confirmations, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, and an STOCHF KD Cross Down, all pointing to a bearish shift in momentum. The SMA Cross 20/50 Golden Cross on this timeframe is a lagging confirmation of the prior uptrend, but the concurrent HT Phasor Inphase Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down suggest that the bullish phase is losing its structural underpinning. The HMA Retreat Down and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit further indicate that price has moved away from an overextended condition, likely inviting a pullback.

Across higher timeframes, the trend alignment is mixed but leans bearish: the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes all show bearish trends, with the 8H being solid. However, the 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes are still bullish, which creates a near-term conflict that could delay the sell-off. The nearest support at 9.05500 is a key level to watch; a break below it would confirm the bearish thesis, while the resistance at 10.05400 acts as the invalidation zone if price reclaims it. The moderate strength (68% probability) reflects this mixed context, so traders should expect possible choppiness before the trend fully aligns.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of eight indicator signals on the 30M timeframe, including BOP, CCI, and STOCHF cross-downs.
▼ Higher timeframes (2H through 1D) are bearish, with the 8H showing a solid trend, aligning with the sell direction.
▼ The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price was overextended, increasing the likelihood of a mean reversion.
▼ The HMA Retreat Down and ER Level Cross Down indicate that the recent bullish momentum is fading.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or delay the sell-off.
▲ If price reclaims the 10.05400 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the trend could reverse.
▲ The Golden Cross on the 30M is a bullish signal, conflicting with the overall bearish thesis; it may indicate that the downtrend is not yet fully established.
▲ The moderate strength (68%) suggests uncertainty; a lack of follow-through on lower timeframes could weaken the signal.