BTC/USDT – 8H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
20 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.88 %
Entry
81,579.52
Target
84,352.00 +3.40 %
closes in profit
Stop
79,800.00 −2.18 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 10
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 53 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.14 % per trade 834 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 834 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +4.22 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.40 % 28 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.77 % 19 % at stop avg −5.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 25 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Bottom, WILLR OS Exit, CCI OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −25.3 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Swing
▲ Bullish 79 % (28.01) ▼ Bearish 21 % (7.25)
model score 4.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.7 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 45.7 % vs 22.3 % (crypto, 3,005 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
BTC/USDT  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 8h 4%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Double Bottombreak + retest chart_pattern 4.98
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.34
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 2.19
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 2.05
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.77
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.33

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • 8H chart shows a cluster of bullish reversal signals (Double Bottom, oversold exits, momentum shifts) after a downtrend.
  • Broader trend remains bearish across most timeframes, so the bullish signal is a potential reversal, not a confirmed trend change.
  • Key levels: resistance at 84352 (upside trigger) and support at 79800 (invalidation level).
  • Watch for confirmation via a break above resistance or bullish alignment on lower timeframes.
The 8H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Double Bottom pattern, BOP zero cross up, CCI and Williams %R exits from oversold, and HMA retreat up. These are classic reversal indicators after a prolonged downtrend, suggesting that selling pressure may be exhausting and buyers are stepping in. The simultaneous zero-crossings of HT SINE and FISHER further support a shift in momentum. However, the broader trend across timeframes remains bearish, with choppy/sideways action on the 15m, 8h, 12h, and 1d, and only weak trend scores elsewhere. This creates a conflict: the 8H reversal signals are firing against a backdrop of lower-timeframe bearishness, so the bullish case is not yet confirmed by higher-timeframe alignment.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 84352 and support at 79800. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the reversal and open the door for further upside, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the mixed trend scores, the signal should be treated as a high-probability but not yet fully confirmed reversal. Traders should wait for confirmation on lower timeframes or a decisive close above the resistance before committing fully.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold exits (CCI, Williams %R) indicate selling pressure is exhausted.
  • ▲ Double Bottom pattern is a classic bullish reversal structure.
  • ▲ Zero-crossings of HT SINE and FISHER suggest a shift in cyclical momentum.
  • ▲ HMA retreat up adds to the confluence of bullish indicators.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are still bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a failed reversal.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways action on several timeframes suggests low conviction and potential for false signals.
  • ▼ A break below support at 79800 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
  • ▼ Momentum may fade if the signal does not get follow-through from lower timeframes.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 84,352.00000 2026-10-12
R2 87,220.00000 2026-10-02
R3 87,395.67000 2026-09-21
S1 79,800.00000 2026-10-15
S2 74,967.97000 2026-09-15

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