EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED

2026-10-23 11:00 UTC 13 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.13 %

Entry

1.59383

Target

1.58807 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.60054 −0.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 9 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +59% Intraday

▲ Bullish 6 % (3.66) ▼ Bearish 94 % (58.18)

model score 11.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 10 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.18
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	1.86
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.14
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 1H sell signal with 92% probability and very strong conviction, backed by multiple indicator groups.
All timeframes are bearish, though higher timeframes (8h+) are choppy/sideways, indicating a developing trend.
Watch the 1.60054 resistance: a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
No defined support level means the downside could be open, but also increases bounce risk.

The 1H EUR/AUD signal is firmly bearish, with a 92% probability and very strong conviction. A dense cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators—STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, DEMA/EMA/KAMA/MA Retreat Down, and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down—all align to confirm downward pressure. The candlestick group adds further confluence, reinforcing the bearish narrative. Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish: the 15m through 4h timeframes all show a forming bearish trend (2/5), while higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways but still bearish (1/5). This alignment, though not yet strong, supports the short-term sell signal.

Key levels are sparse: the nearest resistance sits at 1.60054, while no support is defined. The absence of a nearby support level means there is no obvious floor to halt a decline, but it also implies that the move could be vulnerable to a bounce if the pair approaches historical lows. Traders should watch the 1.60054 resistance as a potential invalidation zone—if price reclaims it, the bearish thesis weakens. The lack of higher-timeframe strength (only 1/5) suggests the trend is still in its infancy, so the sell signal may be best suited for short-term trades rather than prolonged positions.

Catalysts

▼ Consistent bearish bias across all timeframes, with 15m-4h forming trends and higher timeframes also bearish.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, volatility, trend) all pointing down.
▼ Candlestick patterns add further confirmation to the bearish signal.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability suggest robust alignment.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are only mildly bearish and choppy, which could mute the 1H signal's follow-through.
▲ The nearest resistance at 1.60054 is close; a break above it would invalidate the sell signal.
▲ With no support defined, the move could stall or reverse if the pair hits historical lows or if a higher-timeframe support emerges.
▲ Trend scores are low (2/5) even on lower timeframes, indicating the trend is still forming and may lack momentum.