EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-10-23 16:30 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

1.59194

Target

1.58905 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.60054 −0.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, ALMA Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping

▲ Bullish 6 % (2.63) ▼ Bearish 94 % (42.84)

model score 8.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.14
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.78
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.65
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.33
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.27
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.98
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.91
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Very strong confluence of bearish signals on the 30M chart, including a Trendline Break and Descending Triangle breakdown.
Momentum indicators (STOCH, STOCHF, BOP) align to confirm the downtrend, with only a minor STOCH KD Cross Up as a retracement signal.
Trend is solidly bearish across the 15M to 4H timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy—so the move may be counter-trend in the bigger picture.
Watch the 1.60054 resistance as the key invalidation level; a reclaim of that area would weaken the bearish case.

The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart is firing a very strong SELL signal, anchored by a Trendline Break Down and a Descending Triangle breakdown. The confluence of a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Up (a momentum retrace within the downtrend), and STOCHF KD Cross Down (confirming trend resumption) points to a high-probability short entry. The DEMA and EMA Retreat Down signals, along with the HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, reinforce that price is being rejected from overhead dynamic resistance, keeping the path of least resistance lower.

Trend alignment is broadly supportive: the 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h timeframes all show solid bearish trends (3/5), and the 1h is forming a bearish trend. However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy and sideways, which means the larger context is not yet fully bearish. The nearest resistance sits at 1.60054, which aligns with the recent rejection zone. With no nearby support defined, the downside is open, but traders should watch for any stall near round numbers or prior consolidation zones.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes (15m, 30m, 2h, 4h) all bearish with solid scores.
▼ Confluence of trendline break, chart pattern breakdown, and multiple indicator confirmations.
▼ Retreat of dynamic EMAs (DEMA and EMA) from below the price action, reinforcing the downtrend.
▼ High probability (97%) and very strong signal strength, indicating rare alignment.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy and sideways, suggesting the larger trend may not be fully bearish—this could be a mean-reversion move.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up within the signal set hints at a short-term bounce that could trigger a temporary reversal.
▲ No nearby support level defined means the move lacks a clear target; price could stall at psychological levels or prior consolidation zones.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.60054 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a reversal to the upside becomes likely.