EUR/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-23 17:00 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.15 %

Entry

1.56695

Target

1.56174 +0.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.58064 −0.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +19% Intraday

▲ Bullish 18 % (8.07) ▼ Bearish 82 % (36.55)

model score 11.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.30
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.25
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.05
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.97
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	1.85
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: trendline break, multiple MA retreats, and BOP zero cross all align.
All timeframes are bearish, with the strongest trends on 1H, 2H, and 4H.
Watch the 1.58064 resistance—a break above it would weaken the sell case.
No nearby support means downside could extend, but momentum should be monitored.

The EUR/CAD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA) plus a BOP Zero Cross Down. This confluence indicates a broad-based loss of upside momentum, with the MACD Signal Cross Up adding a short-term counter-signal that may represent a brief pullback within the larger downtrend. The STOCHF KD Cross Down further confirms bearish momentum, while the trendline break suggests a structural shift in price action.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15m through 1D, with the strongest readings (4/5) on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts. This alignment across multiple horizons strengthens the conviction of the sell signal, as all timeframes are pointing in the same direction. The nearest resistance at 1.58064 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis. With no nearby support, downside potential remains open, but traders should monitor for any signs of momentum fading, especially given the MACD cross up and the still-forming 15m and 1D trends.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 1D.
▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA) confirm broad selling pressure.
▼ Trendline break adds a structural element to the bearish case.
▼ Strong trend scores on 1H, 2H, and 4H reinforce the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ MACD Signal Cross Up suggests a possible short-term bounce that could stall the downtrend.
▲ 15m and 1D trends are only 'forming' (2/5), indicating weaker conviction at the extremes.
▲ A break above the 1.58064 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCHF KD cross down reverses quickly.