EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-10-23 09:00 UTC 15 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %

Entry

175.420

Target

174.791 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.767 −1.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 11 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +52% Intraday

▲ Bullish 11 % (7.93) ▼ Bearish 89 % (61.13)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 12 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.41
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.40
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.20
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.13
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	1.95
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.67
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.18

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All timeframes are bearish, with the strongest trend on 2H, reinforcing the sell signal.
A dense cluster of 15+ indicators fired, indicating strong confluence for a bearish move.
Watch the 177.76700 resistance level; a break above could invalidate the bearish case.
No nearest support is defined, so downside targets are unclear — manage risk accordingly.

The EUR/JPY 1H signal is strongly bearish, with a 95% probability and very strong strength. A dense cluster of momentum, trend, and price-based indicators — including STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, and MIDPOINT Break Down — all align to confirm a downward shift. The bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes from 15 minutes to 1 day, with the strongest conviction on the 2H timeframe (4/5) and solid trends on 30m, 1H, 4H, and 12H. This multi-timeframe alignment, combined with the very strong signal strength, suggests a high-conviction bearish move. The nearest resistance is at 177.76700, which may act as a ceiling if price retraces. With no nearest support defined, the downside is open, but traders should watch for any invalidation levels or shifts in momentum.

Catalysts

▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, from 15m to 1d.
▼ Multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, price) all firing in the same direction.
▼ Very strong signal strength (95% probability) adds high confidence.
▼ 2H timeframe shows a very strong trend (4/5), suggesting strong underlying momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 177.76700, the bearish signal weakens.
▲ The 15m and 8h timeframes are only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating potential for consolidation or reversal.
▲ No nearest support means the downside is undefined, increasing uncertainty about how far the move can extend.
▲ A conflicting higher timeframe (e.g., 1d) is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the longer-term trend is not as strong.