EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED
10 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %
Entry
175.660
Target
175.201 +0.26 %
closes in profit
Stop
176.226 −0.32 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 12 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.06) ▼ Bearish 97 % (32.59)
model score 10.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 13 candles
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 30m 11%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 2.23
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.03

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal cluster is active on the 30-minute chart, with multiple moving averages and momentum indicators aligned.
  • The bearish trend is consistent from 30m up to 12h, with the strongest conviction at the 2-hour level.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 176.226 and support at 175.201; a break below support could extend the move.
  • The 15-minute bullish trend is the only opposing signal, but it is still forming and may be a short-term pullback.
The 30-minute EUR/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down both confirm a shift in momentum, while the EMA 50, KAMA, MA, and SMA 50 Retreat Downs all indicate that price is pulling back from these moving averages. The ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish and Northern Doji add a layer of trend and candlestick confirmation. Together, these signals suggest a strong, multi-indicator bearish push that is currently dominating the 30-minute timeframe.

Looking across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 30 minutes up to 12 hours, with the strongest alignment at the 2-hour level (4/5) and solid trends at 1h, 4h, and 12h. The 15-minute timeframe is still forming a bullish trend, which may be a short-term counter-move, but the overall higher-timeframe alignment supports the bearish direction. The nearest resistance sits at 176.226, while the nearest support is at 175.201. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) all confirm price rejection from dynamic support levels.
  • ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) both cross down, reinforcing the bearish shift.
  • ▼ The ICHIMOKU Cloud is bearish, adding trend context, and the Northern Doji candlestick pattern confirms the reversal.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (1h, 2h, 4h, 12h) are all bearish, providing strong alignment.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15-minute timeframe is still forming a bullish trend, which could signal a short-term counter-move or a potential reversal if it strengthens.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 176.226 resistance level, the bearish signal cluster would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the move stalls before reaching the nearest support at 175.201.
  • ▲ The 1-day timeframe is only a forming trend (2/5), so the longer-term bearish bias is not yet fully established.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 11%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 14:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 176.22600 2026-10-23
R2 177.75800 2026-10-22
R3 177.76700 2026-10-21
S1 175.20100 2026-10-23

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