EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
10 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
1.12037
Target
1.11806 +0.21 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12560 −0.47 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Triple Top, Double Top, KAMA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.7 % ↓ −21.3 vs previous candle
WEAK Intraday
▲ Bullish 6 % (2.33) ▼ Bearish 94 % (36.53)
model score 26.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 4 candles
EUR/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 2h 27%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Triple Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 3.30
▼ Double Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 3.14
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.01
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.97
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.94
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.67
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.46
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.42
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.23
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.23
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 1.07
▼ Hanging Man candlestick 0.68

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 2H signal shows a very strong bearish confluence: multiple reversal patterns and moving average retreats align.
  • Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are solidly bearish, supporting the short-term sell signal.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.12560 (invalidation) and support at 1.11806 (target).
  • Watch for a break below 1.11806 to confirm bearish momentum; a reclaim of 1.12560 would invalidate the signal.
The EUR/USD 2H signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 90% probability and a very strong strength rating. A dense cluster of fifteen signals has fired, including classic reversal patterns like Double Top and Triple Top, alongside a BOP Zero Cross Down and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA). This confluence of chart patterns, candlestick formations, and indicator-based signals points to a robust short-term bearish setup. The alignment across timeframes is notable: the 2H, 1H, and 30M timeframes all show bearish trends forming, while the 12H and 1D timeframes display solid and very strong bearish trends, respectively. This multi-timeframe alignment suggests that the selling pressure is not just a fleeting event but is supported by broader market momentum. The 15M timeframe is currently bullish, but it is only a weak trend (2/5), which may represent a minor counter-move within the larger bearish context. The nearest resistance at 1.12560 is a critical level to watch; as long as price remains below this, the bearish case holds. The nearest support at 1.11806 is the immediate downside target; a break below this level could accelerate the move lower. The 4H and 8H timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could indicate some consolidation, but the stronger higher-timeframe trends dominate the picture.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment across multiple timeframes: 2H, 1H, 30M bearish, with 12H and 1D showing solid/very strong bearish trends.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple pattern types: Double Top, Triple Top, and BOP Zero Cross Down, plus moving average retreats.
  • ▼ Very high probability (90%) and very strong strength rating on the signal.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 1.12560 is well-defined, providing a clear level to defend the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15M timeframe is currently bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the bearish trend.
  • ▲ The 4H and 8H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong trend on those mid-term views; this could cause consolidation.
  • ▲ If price rises above the nearest resistance at 1.12560, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the price stalls at support 1.11806 without breaking through, leading to a range-bound market.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 27%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12560 2026-10-22
R2 1.12608 2026-10-20
R3 1.12696 2026-10-16
S1 1.11806 2026-10-19
S2 1.11129 2026-10-14

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