EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-10-23 18:00 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %

Entry

1.11945

Target

1.12265 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11441 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 5 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 95 % (29.56) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.40)

model score 95.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.54
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.25
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The buy signal is counter-trend; the higher timeframes are all bearish, with the daily trend very strong.
Expect limited upside; nearest resistance at 1.12119 is a key barrier.
The Hanging Man pattern is a bearish warning, conflicting with the buy bias.
A break below support at 1.11846 would invalidate the bullish signal.

The EUR/USD 30-minute signal is a BUY, but it is firing against a predominantly bearish trend across all higher timeframes. The signal is composed of several indicator-based events: BOP Zero Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, HMA Direction Up, and ER Level Cross Down, plus an HT SINE Zero Cross Down. These suggest a short-term upward correction within a larger downtrend. The candlestick pattern 'Hanging Man' is typically a bearish reversal signal, which adds a note of caution to the bullish bias.

Trend alignment is poor: the 15m to 4h timeframes are bearish and choppy/sideways, while the 8h and 12h are bearish with stronger trend scores, and the 1d is a very strong bearish trend. This means the buy signal is likely a counter-trend move, with limited upside potential. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12119 and support at 1.11846. A break above resistance could signal a more meaningful reversal, but a break below support would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the dominant downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, DEMA, HMA) show upward momentum on the 30m timeframe.
▲ The ER Level Cross Down and HT SINE Zero Cross Down suggest a potential shift in short-term momentum.
▲ The 30m price is near support, which may offer a bounce zone.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trend on the 1d timeframe (4/5) argues against a sustained rally.
▼ The Hanging Man candlestick pattern is bearish and may signal a reversal back down.
▼ Choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) suggests weak conviction in the bullish move.
▼ If price falls below 1.11846, the bullish signal is invalidated.