GBP/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
11 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
209.640
Target
210.486 +0.40 %
closes in profit
Stop
208.359 −0.61 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), KDJ OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Intraday
▲ Bullish 65 % (14.17) ▼ Bearish 35 % (7.49)
model score 11.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 8 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 1h 12%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.97
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.89
▼ EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross indicator 1.87
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.72
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.60
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.59
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.57
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.39
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.22

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Buy signal is counter-trend: all timeframes are bearish, so treat this as a bounce, not a reversal.
  • Resistance at 210.48600 is the key upside barrier; support at 209.24000 is the invalidation level.
  • Oscillator cluster (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, KDJ, TSI) points to oversold rebound, but EMA Death Cross and Phasor Cross Down cap upside.
  • Moderate strength and 73% probability: risk is elevated; consider tight risk management.
The 1H BUY signal on GBP/JPY fires against a predominantly bearish backdrop across all monitored timeframes, with the 1H, 2H, and 4H trends showing solid bearish structure. The signal is composed of a cluster of oscillators and momentum indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit, TSI Signal Cross Up—all suggesting a short-term oversold rebound or a potential reversal attempt. However, the presence of EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicates that the longer-term moving-average and phase relationships remain bearish, conflicting with the immediate buy trigger.

The signal's moderate strength and 73% probability suggest a tactical long rather than a trend change. The nearest resistance at 210.48600 is the immediate upside target, while support at 209.24000 is the invalidation zone. Given the bearish alignment across timeframes, the buy is likely a counter-trend bounce within a broader downtrend. Traders should watch for the bounce to stall near resistance or for momentum to fade, which would reinforce the bearish trend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold-exit signals (WILLR, KDJ) and cross-up signals (BOP, STOCHF, TSI) align for a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ The 1H, 2H, and 4H trends are solid bearish, which could provide a strong down-move to fade the bounce against.
  • ▲ Support at 209.24000 is nearby, offering a clear invalidation level for the buy.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ All higher timeframes are bearish, so the buy is against the prevailing trend; a bounce could fail quickly.
  • ▼ EMA 50/200 Death Cross and Phasor Inphase Cross Down confirm bearish momentum, limiting upside potential.
  • ▼ The 12H trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional conviction—could lead to whipsaw.
  • ▼ If price breaks below 209.24000, the buy signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 12%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 210.48600 2026-10-23
R2 211.99000 2026-10-22
S1 209.24000 2026-10-23
S2 208.35900 2026-10-14

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